数字赋能多元主体的应急管理效能评价模型研究—基于自由基聚合理论视角

Research on Emergency Management Efficiency Evaluation Model of Digital Empowerment Multi-subject—Based on the Perspective of Free Radical Polymerization Theory

以社工参与的应急管理多元主体系统为研究对象,围绕“社工参与的应急管理系统如何用关键指标测度和评价其‘事前—事中—事后’阶段的动态协同性?”和“数字赋能应急管理的效能如何通过测度系统的协同性反映”两大问题。利用自由基聚合理论,按照其“事前—事中—事后”的阶段性特征构建了一种多元主体参与的应急管理效能评价模型,并以指标构建系统的“熵”为测度对模型进行计算,探究数字赋能对该应急管理系统的效能影响。通过调研S省Y市的应急管理发展现状,进行实证研究。研究表明,按照模型运算评价,数字赋能能够使社工参与下的多元主体在应急管理全过程中的有序性和组织协同性增强,但前后跨阶段间的协同性并未增加。该文在安全屏障模型的理论基础上建构了解释和分析研究结论的新模型,提供了综合评价社工参与应急管理效能的指导方案。

By taking the multi-subject system of emergency management participated by social workers as the research object,the study is conducted focused on"how to measure and evaluate the dynamic synergy of the emergency management system involved by social workers with key indicators"in the"before-during-post"stage and"how to reflect the effectiveness of digitally-enabled emergency management through the synergy of measurement systems".Using the free radical polymerization theory,an emergency management efficiency evaluation model with multi-subject participation is constructed according to its phased characteristics of"before-during-post",and the model was calculated by using the"entropy"of the index construction system as the measure to explore the efficiency impact of digital empowerment on the emergency management system,and on this basis,the corresponding system indicators in different counties and districts of Y City in S Province are investigated as samples for empirical research.The results show that according to the model operation evaluation,digital empowerment can increase the orderliness and organizational coordination of multiple subjects with the participation of social workers in the whole process of emergency management,but the coordination between the previous and subsequent stages does not increase.Based on the theory combined with the safety barrier model,the mechanism of the research conclusions is explained and analyzed in combination with the construction model in this paper,and relevant countermeasures are proposed.