浙江省地质灾害气象风险预警一体化建设的探索与实践

Exploration and practice of integrated construction of meteorological risk warning for geological hazards in Zhejiang Province

地质灾害预报预警是有效防范地质灾害、减少人员伤亡的重要手段。自2003年开始实施以来,全国有80%的山区省、市、县开展了地质灾害气象预警工作。但这种省、市、县独立建设模式难以满足部省协同、市县联动、全域贯通的业务需求。文章介绍了浙江省地质灾害气象风险预警一体化建设:按照“省级预报到县、市级预报到乡、县级预警到村(点)”的工作原则,在趋势预测、每日预报、短临预报和实时预警与地质灾害防治业务一体化融合方面开展探索,初步建成了以“地灾智治”应用驾驶舱为可视化监管,以“地灾智防”APP为闭环手段的地质灾害全生命周期管控防治业务体系,形成了具有浙江特色的地质灾害预报预警数字化产品体系。

Geological hazard forecasting and early warning are crucial measures for preventing geological disasters and minimizing casualties.Since the initiation of geological hazard meteorological risk early warning in 2003,80%of mountainous provinces,cities and counties in China have implemented such measures.However,the independent construction model at the provincial,city,and county levels is inadequate to meet the collaborative needs across ministries,provinces,and the integration of cities and counties.This paper presents the case of integrated construction of meteorological risk early warning for geological hazards in Zhejiang Province.Following the principle of“provincial forecast extends to county,municipal forecast to township,and county early warning to village(point)”,the integration and exploration of trend forecasting,daily forecasting,short-term forecasting,real-time early warning,and the‘intelligent prevention of geological disaster’app have been conducted.A full lifecycle control and prevention business system of geological disaster with visual supervision and closed-loop means of intelligent prevention of geological disaster APP application has been established.Additionally,a digital product system for geological hazard prediction and early warning, tailored to the characteristics of Zhejiang Province, has been developed.