电信网络诈骗犯罪成因分析及关键要素识别

Cause Analysis and Identification of Key Elements ofTelecom Network Fraud Crimes

电信网络诈骗犯罪持续高位运行,已成为当前社会治理面临的重要挑战之一。现有对电信网络诈骗犯罪成因的研究大多应用思辨方法,从不同理论视角进行研究。在获取大量原始资料的基础上,应用扎根理论,对电信网络诈骗犯罪成因进行质性研究,能够较为客观地建立电信网络诈骗犯罪成因分析的理论模型,并在此基础上应用AHP层次分析法计算主范畴和概念的权重,确定电信网络诈骗犯罪成因中的关键要素,从而实现对电信网络诈骗犯罪成因的质性+定量研究。研究结果对于正确认识电信网络诈骗犯罪“打、防、管、治、建、宣”综合治理成效,合理调整政策导向,具有一定现实意义。

The continuous high-level occurrence of telecom network fraud crimes has become one of the important challenges in current social governance.The existing research on the cause of telecom network fraud crimes mostly applies speculative methods and conducts research from different theoretical perspectives.The article applies grounded theory to conduct a qualitative study on the cause of telecom network fraud crimes based on obtaining a large amount of original interview materials and case records.Through step-by-step coding,an integrated cause analysis model for telecom network fraud crimes is established.On this basis,the AHP analytic hierarchy process of operations research theory is applied to calculate the weights of the main and secondary categories,and then the key elements in the causes of telecom network fraud crimes are determined,to realize qualitative and quantitative research on telecom network fraud crimes.The research results have certain practical significance for correctly understanding the comprehensive governance effectiveness of"cracking down,preventing,managing,governing,constructing,promoting",and adjusting policy guidance reasonably.