生育动机在互联网使用对生育意愿影响中的中介作用分析

Mediating Role of Fertility Motivation in the Impact of Internet Use on FertilityIntentions

利用中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)数据分析发现,生育动机在互联网使用对生育意愿的影响中起中介作用,该中介作用存在两种方向:一是互联网使用通过削弱家庭导向型生育动机(包括家庭传承型和经济效用型生育动机)抑制生育意愿;二是互联网使用通过增强个体导向型生育动机(主要是情感喜悦型生育动机)提高生育意愿。生育动机在互联网使用影响生育意愿的过程中起到的抑制作用更大,其中介效应在总效应中的占比为11.251%。此外,互联网使用对生育动机的影响存在着世代、性别、城乡和受教育程度方面的异质性,不同上网行为对生育动机的影响也存在差别。考察生育动机的中介效应,有助于深入理解互联网使用对生育意愿的影响机制,为网络时代应对低生育率问题提供新思路。

Analysis of the China Family Panel Studies(CFPS)data reveals that fertility motivations mediate the impact of internet use on fertility intentions.This mediating role operates in two directions.First,internet use diminishes family-oriented ferility motivations,including family legacy and economic utility motivation,suppressing fertility intentions.Second,internet use enhances individual-oriented ferility motivations,particularly emotion-driven motivation,promoting fertility intentions.Overall,the inhibiting role played by fertility motivation is more pronounced in the influence of internet use on ferility intentions.The mediating effect accounts for 11.251%of the total effect.Further,the impact of internet use on fertility motivation differs across cohorts,genders,urban-rural residences,and education levels.The impacts of different online behaviors on ferility motivation are also different.Exploring the mediating role of fertility motivation contributes to a deeper understanding of the mechanisms through which internet use influences fertility intentions,offering novel insights for addressing low fertility rates in the internet era.