数字贸易推动制造业高质量发展:效应测度与实践路径

Digital Trade Promoting the High Quality Development of Manufacturing Industry:Effect Measurement and Practical Path

采用2011~2021年我国省级面板数据,实证检验数字贸易推动制造业高质量发展的多维效应。结果表明:发展数字贸易确实能推动我国制造业高质量发展;数字贸易可通过技术创新效应、要素配置效应和产业融合效应等路径推动制造业高质量发展,其中技术创新的中介效应最大,推动制造业高质量发展的核心是技术进步。数字贸易对制造业高质量发展的作用存在非线性特征,发展水平越高其推动作用越强。此外,数字贸易对制造业高质量发展的空间溢出效应也很显著,数字贸易的发展能够推动本地和相邻地区的制造业高质量发展。基于此,应从建设端、地区端、行业端、企业端四个维度推动数字贸易发展,以助力我国制造业高质量发展。

This paper empirically tests the multidimensional effects of digital trade in driving the high-quality development of the manufacturing industry in conjunction with the provincial-level panel data from 2011 to 2021 in China.The results show that the development of digital trade can indeed facilitate the high-quality development of China's manufacturing industry.The digital trade can promote the high-quality development of the manufacturing industry through technological innovation effects,factor allocation effects,and industrial integration effects,where the intermediary effect of technological innovation is the greatest,and the core of pushing forward the high-quality development of the manufacturing industry is technological progress.The role of digital trade in the high-quality development of manufacturing industry presents a non-linear characteristic,and the higher the level of development,the stronger the driving force.Further,the spatial spillover effect of digital trade on the high-quality development of manufacturing industry is also significant,and the development of digital trade can give impetus to the high-quality development of manufacturing industry in local and adjacent regions.On this basis,the practical path for developing digital trade to assist the high-quality development of China's manufacturing industry is proposed from four dimensions:construction terminal,regional terminal,industry terminal,and enterprise terminal.