区域“创新-生态-经济”耦合协调发展的组态路径——基于动态定性比较分析

Combination path of regional innovation-ecology-economy coupling and coordinated development:Based on a dynamic qualitative comparative analysis

[目的]提升区域“创新-生态-经济”耦合协调水平是中国实现高质量发展的重要途径,本文旨在合理测度新发展阶段下“创新-生态-经济”耦合协调度,从组态视角探究“创新-生态-经济”系统内部构成要素互动联合而形成的高耦合协调路径,明确未来复合系统耦合协调发展的重点方向。[方法]以2011-2020年中国30个省份为样本,结合新发展理念构建“创新-生态-经济”复合系统评价指标体系,并从系统内部角度出发,运用动态定性比较分析法识别产生高耦合协调的组态路径及其动态演化规律。[结果]①整个研究期间内,“创新-生态-经济”系统准则层要素并不单独构成其耦合协调发展的必要条件,各要素交互匹配产生4条高耦合协调组态路径,可归为“创新应用节能减排共促发展型”和“创新培育环保治理效率提升型”两大模式,具有“殊途同归”的特点;②从“十二五”到“十三五”时期,应用性科技创新和产业结构优化升级对区域耦合协调发展的促进作用被弱化,基础性创新、经济质量追赶和发展成果共享成为新的核心驱动因素。[结论]中国区域“创新-生态-经济”耦合协调仍有较大的提升空间,需在弥补子系统短板弱项的基础上进一步增强系统内部要素协同联动,将科技研发、质量追赶与共同富裕作为未来关注与提升的重点。

[Objective]Enhancing the coupling coordination of regional innovation-ecology-economy stands as a crucial avenue for China to attain high-quality development.This study assessed the innovation-ecology-economy coupling coordination level under the new developmental stages.It examined the coupling coordination path that emerges through the interaction and amalgamation of the constituent elements intrinsic to the innovation-ecology-economy system,approached from a combinational standpoint.Furthermore,the study aimed to clarify the principal course that will shape the forthcoming advancement of the coupling coordination of these three systems.[Methods]Using a sample of 30 Chinese provinces with data spanning from 2011 to 2020,this study integrated the new development concept to develop an evaluation framework for the composite innovation-ecology-economy system.From an intra-system perspective,the research employed a dynamic qualitative comparative analysis to identify the combination paths within the composite system that engender high coupling coordination levels,alongside their dynamic patterns of evolution.[Results](1)In the study period,individual components of the system were insufficient for achieving coupling coordination development.But the interplay and alignment of components generated four combination paths of high-level coupling coordination,which can be categorized as"innovation and application of energy conservation and emission reduction for development"and"innovation and cultivation of environmental protection governance efficiency enhancement",with the characteristics of"all roads lead to Rome".(2)The role of applied scientific and technological innovation,and industrial structure optimization and upgrading in promoting regional coupled and coordinated development had weakened from the 12th Five-Year Plan to the 13th Five-Year Plan period.Instead,the core driving factors shifted to basic innovation,economic development quality catch-up,and sharing of development results.[Conclusion]Considerable potential for enhancement remains within China's regional innovation-ecology-economy system for coupled and coordinated development.To foster further improvement,a concerted effort is needed to bolster interplay among the system's constituent elements,addressing the deficiencies and vulnerabilities within sub-systems.Emphasis should be placed on bolstering scientific and technological research and development,advancing quality-driven catch-up initiatives,and cultivating common prosperity.