新疆塔城地区的发展韧性研究

Research on the Development Resilience of Tacheng Area in Xinjiang

2020年国家发展改革委批准设立新疆塔城重点开发开放试验区,新疆塔城地区成为国家实施西进战略、开拓中亚市场的前沿地带。在2021年新疆维吾尔自治区政府发布的“十四五”规划中,也对塔城地区的发展目标提出了新的要求。因此,选用2018—2022年新疆塔城地区的发展数据,运用熵值法测算综合韧性指数,从经济韧性、社会韧性、环境生态韧性以及基础设施韧性四个子系统出发,研究新疆塔城地区在面临外部冲击时,其自身抵御、修复和维持的能力。结果表明新疆塔城地区的综合韧性指数呈现上升趋势,且经济韧性和社会韧性是影响新疆塔城地区发展的关键因素。

In 2020,the National Development and Reform Commission approved the establishment of the Xinjiang Tacheng Key Development and Opening-up Pilot Zone,and the Tacheng area has become the frontier area for Xinjiang to implement the westward expansion strategy and open up the Central Asian market.In the 14th Five-Year Plan released by the autonomous regional government in 2021,new requirements were also put forward for the development goals of the Tacheng region in Xinjiang.Therefore,this paper selects the development data of Tacheng area in Xinjiang from 2018 to 2022,uses the entropy method to measure the comprehensive index of development resilience,and studies the ability of Tacheng area in Xinjiang to resist,repair and maintain external shocks from the four subsystems of economic resilience,social resilience,ecological environment resilience and infrastructure resilience.The results show that the comprehensive development index of Tacheng area in Xinjiang shows an upward trend,and economic resilience and social resilience are the key factors affecting the development of Tacheng area in Xinjiang.