乡村振兴对安徽民宿经济发展的政策目标兼容性研究

Research on the Compatibility of Policy Objectives of Rural Revitalization and Anhui Homestay Economic Development

基于2010-2021年安徽省市域数据,利用熵权法评价乡村振兴各维度水平,运用贝叶斯时空分位回归模型分析不同地区和不同分位水平下乡村振兴对民宿经济发展的影响。研究发现,乡村振兴各维度对民宿经济发展的正向影响具有显著的空间异质性,产业生活在各地区普遍表现出较高的显著性,乡风文明在各地区表现出的显著性普遍较弱,生态宜居的正向影响在皖南地区表现最显著,而治理有效的正向影响在皖北地区表现最明显。乡村振兴各维度对民宿经济发展的正向影响存在显著的分位效应,在影响边际上,产业生活呈现“倒V”型,生态宜居和乡风文明逐渐增强,治理成效逐渐下降。

Based on the data of Anhui Province from 2010 to 2021,the entropy weight method was used to evaluate the various dimensions of rural revitalization,and the Bayesian spatio-temporal quantile regression model was used to analyze the impact of rural revitalization on the economic development of homestays in different regions and at different quantile levels.The study found that the positive impact of various dimensions of rural revitalization on homestay economic development showed significant spatial heterogeneity,industrial life showed high significance in all regions,and rural culture showed weak significance in all regions.The positive impact of ecological livability was the most significant in southern Anhui,while the positive impact of effective governance was the most obvious in northern Anhui.Each dimension of rural revitalization has a significant qual effect on the positive impact of homestay economic development.In terms of impact margin,industrial life presents an“inverted V”type,ecological livability and rural civilization are gradually enhanced,and governance effectiveness is gradually decreased.