浙江省工业科技创新、结构升级与碳排放效率协调分析

Analysis of the Coordination Among Industrial Technology Innovation Structure Upgrading and Carbon Emission Efficiency in Zhejiang Province

通过熵值法、超效率SBM模型、耦合协调度模型和灰色GM(1,1)预测模型分析浙江省工业科技创新、工业结构升级与工业碳排放效率的耦合协调水平。结果表明:浙江省工业科技创新、工业结构升级与工业碳排放效率三者的耦合协调度由濒临失调缓慢地上升至初级协调,同时省内三者间高级别耦合协调城市数量较少且存在断档;制约三者耦合协调发展的重要因素是工业科技创新和工业碳排放效率的耦合协调不足;预测期内三者耦合协调有所提升,但仍有4个城市未达到良好协调水平,现有耦合协调发展路径需优化。据此提出浙江省工业科技创新、工业结构升级与工业碳排放效率耦合协调提升建议。

The Entropy Method,Super-Efficiency SBM Model,Coupling Coordination Degree Model,and Grey GM(1,1)Prediction Model were adopted herein for the intended comprehensive analysis on the coupling coordination degree among industrial technology innovation,industrial structure upgrading,and industrial carbon emission efficiency in Zhejiang Province.The analysis indicated that the coupling coordination degree among these three elements gradually progressed from the tip of imbalance to an initial stage of coordination the relative scarcity of observable instances and the distinct gaps among cities in terms of high-level coupling coordination.Also,the key hindering factor was found to be the insufficient coupling coordination between industrial technology innovation and industrial carbon emission efficiency.Throughout the duration of the prediction,the coupling coordination among the three elements had also improved,but four cities had yet to acquire satisfactory degrees of coordination,calling for the optimization of the existing coupling coordination development path.In response,constructive suggestions were correspondingly proposed at the end of the study.