摘要
选择华北平原地区作为研究对象,采用排放因子法建立该区域2000~2060年HCFC-142b排放清单,探讨了其空间分布特征,并对不同行业开展了排放结果的敏感性分析.结果显示,该地区2000~2019年HCFC-142b累计排放量为34.0kt.其中,江苏、山东和河南是排放量最大省份,累计排放量分别为595.1t、267.6t和196.5t.XPS泡沫排放最大,其次是ICR行业,两个行业对排放结果最敏感的因子分别是初始排放因子和设备废弃率.排放预测显示,在《蒙特利尔议定书》管控下,该地区2020~2060年的累计减排潜力为151.9kt(9.9kt CFC-11-eq;350.9mt CO_(2)-eq).
The North China plain was selected as research region,the emission factor method was used to establish the HCFC-142b emission inventory from 2000 to 2060,its spatial distribution characteristics were discussed,and the sensitivity analysis of emission results was carried out for different sectors.The results showed that the cumulative emissions of HCFC-142b from 2000 to 2019 were 34.0kt in this region.Jiangsu,Shandong and Henan had the largest emissions,with cumulative emissions of 595.1t,267.6t and 196.5t,respectively.Emissions from XPS was largest,followed by ICR.The most sensitive factors were initial emission factor and equipment disposed rate in XPS and ICR sector,respectively.The projected emissions show that under the control of the Montreal Protocol,the cumulative emission reduction potential of North China will reach 151.9kt(9.9kt CFC-11-eq;350.9mt CO_(2)-eq)from 2020 to 2060.
作者
张大宇
吴婧
王彤
刘泽华
胡冬梅
彭林
ZHANG Da-yu;WU Jing;WANG Tong;LIU Ze-hua;HU Dong-mei;PENG Lin(The Key Laboratory of Resource and Environmental System Optimization,Ministry of Education,College of Environmental Science and Engineering,North China Electric Power University,Beijing 102206,China;Engineering Research Center of Clean and Low-carbon Technology for Intelligent Transportation,Ministry of Education,School of Environment,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China;Institute of Transport Energy and Environment,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China)
出处
《中国环境科学》
EI
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2024年第5期2847-2852,共6页
China Environmental Science
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(42375184)
北京交通大学人才基金资助项目(2023JBRC001)
细颗粒物与臭氧协同控项目(DQGG202109)。
关键词
臭氧类消耗
全球变暖
华北平原地区
排放清单
减排潜力
ozone consumption
global warming
North China plain
emission inventory
emission reduction potential
