南水北调工程总体规划前期论证历程总结、分析与评价

Summary,analysis and evaluation of the preliminary argumentation of the general planning of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project

支撑和引领国家水网主骨架、大动脉阶段性体系构建,南水北调工程总体规划历经50年前期论证,凝结了我国当代调水工程研究论证的智慧精华。南水北调体系庞大、任务繁杂,总体规划修编具有时代性,既有路径依赖,又是一个动态调整、不断完善的过程。基于南水北调的复杂性特征和多目标特点,通过对南水北调多方管理主体和利益群体的冲突协商与博弈分析,对南水北调工程总体规划前期论证历程开展了较为系统的分析、总结和评价,以期通过总结规律,以史赋能,为南水北调工程总体规划修编、后续工程规划论证和国家水网体系建设提供基础支撑和决策参考。

Supporting and leading the phased system construction of the trunk and main branches of the national water network,the General Planning of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project has underwent 50 years of preliminary argumentation.During this process the wisdom and gist of contemporary water diversion in China has been solidified.Considering its huge tasks and complicated systems,the revision of the General Planning of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project needs to go abreast with the calls of the time,which is not only path-dependent,but also requires dynamic adjustment and continuous improvement.Based on the complexity and multi-objective characteristics of the the South-to-North Water Diversion Project,this article carries out a systematic analysis,summary,and evaluation of the preliminary argumentation of the general planning of the project by analyzing the conflicts,games and trade-offs among various authorities and stakeholders.It is expected that by summarizing the law and using history to empower,it can provide basic support and decision-making reference for the revision of the overall plan of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project,the demonstration of subsequent project planning and the construction of the national water network system.