摘要
研究高速铁路对粤港澳大湾区机场群航线网络的影响,是优化其航线网络设计的重要基础。以2010—2019年粤港澳大湾区机场群航线网络面板数据为样本,运用Robust回归模型和固定效应模型,分层次考察高速铁路对粤港澳大湾区机场群航线网络的影响。研究表明,高速铁路对粤港澳大湾区机场群整体航线网络具有正向影响;对“粤港澳大湾区机场群—长三角机场群”和“粤港澳大湾区机场群—京津冀机场群”航线网络具有显著正向作用;对“粤港澳大湾区机场群—国际航空枢纽城市”航线网络和“粤港澳大湾区机场群—区域航空枢纽城市”航线网络具有正向影响,而对“粤港澳大湾区机场群—非航空枢纽城市”航线网络具有显著负向影响。总体而言,高速铁路可以促进粤港澳大湾区机场群航线网络发展,为机场群发展提供参考依据。
Studying the influence of high speed railway on the route networks of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area airport clusters is fundamental for optimizing their network design.Utilizing panel data from the route networks of these airport clusters from 2010 to 2019,this research employed Robust regression and fixed effect models to hierarchically assess the influence of high speed railway on the route networks of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area airport clusters.The findings reveal that high speed railway positively affects the overall route network in the Greater Bay Area airport clusters.It significantly enhances the route networks of the Greater Bay Area airport clusters-Yangtze River Delta airport clusters and the Greater Bay Area airport clusters-Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei airport clusters.High speed railway also positively influences routes to international and regional aviation hub cities,while it negatively influences routes to non-hub cities.In summary,high speed railway contributes to the development of route networks in the Greater Bay Area airport clusters,offering a reference for the growth of airport clusters.
作者
李国栋
李如苑
LI Guodong;LI Ruyuan(Economics and Management College,Civil Aviation University of China,Tianjin 300300,China;College of Transportation Science and Engineer,Civil Aviation University of China,Tianjin 300300,China)
出处
《铁道运输与经济》
北大核心
2024年第5期132-140,共9页
Railway Transport and Economy
基金
天津市教委社会科学重大项目(2018JWZD52)。
关键词
高速铁路
粤港澳大湾区
机场群
航线网络
稳健回归
固定效应
High Speed Railway
Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area
Airport Clusters
Route Networks
Robustness Regression
Fixed Effects
