机械化信息化智能化融合发展的内在逻辑

Intrinsic logic of integrated development of mechanization,informatization,and intelligentization

从机械化的高级阶段、突破机械化的瓶颈、信息化的高级阶段、突破信息化的瓶颈等4个方面阐述“三化”间的历史联系以及“三化”融合发展的内在逻辑。机械化时代孕育了计算机;计算技术又推动机械化时代突破发展天花板,带来信息化时代;信息化时代孕育了人工智能;智能技术又将推动信息化时代突破发展天花板,带来智能化新时代。“三化”之间是“孕育”与“突破”的阶梯跃升关系,是发展的连续性和颠覆性的循环,这是“三化”融合发展的内在逻辑。据此逻辑,提出应从融合的角度把握军事智能化发展规律,探索大国威慑博弈新范式。

To scientifically understand the current situation in which mechanization,informatization,and intelligentization will coexist and develop in parallel for a long period of time,and to grasp the connotation of their integrated development,the intrinsic logic of the integrated development of these and their interrelationships are investigated from four aspects:advanced stages of mechanization,mechanization bottlenecks,advanced stages of informatization,and informatization bottlenecks.The logic of the integrated development of mechanization,informatization,and intelligentization can be summarized as follows:informatization of mechanization,where humans are independent of the system,intelligentization of informatization,in which humans are in the system,and intelligentization after informatization,in which humans are positioned above the system.According to this logic,this study proposes strategies such as grasping the opportunity of military intelligence,understanding the interaction patterns between human intelligence and machine intelligence,and exploring a new paradigm of the major power deterrence game.