2022年女篮世界杯前八名球队实力分析——中国女篮2024年巴黎奥运会的前景展望

Comparison of the Top Eight Teams at the 2022 FIBA Women’s Basketball World Cup:Prospect of the Chinese Women’s Basketball Team in Paris 2024 Olympic Games

为进一步提高中国女子篮球的竞争力,备战巴黎奥运会,运用文献研究法、比较与分析法、数理统计法、录像分析法等方法对2022年女篮世界杯的客观数据进行梳理与比较,并全面分析中国女篮的优势与不足。研究认为:1)中国女篮球员年龄与身高已经达到世界顶级球队水平,内线组合成为优势之一;2)中国女篮在内线得分与后场篮板球方面具备一定优势,但在二次进攻、快攻反击得分和前场篮板球控制方面相对较弱;3)中国女篮多位球员在场均效率值、总得分、场均得分、篮板球、助攻等技术指标上均进入本届世界杯前十行列,达到世界一流水平,在本届世界杯夺得亚军是自身实力的体现;4)在对中国女篮球队各个位置的实力比较中,5号位需要提高前场篮板球控制和罚球命中率,4号位需要提高前场篮板球争夺和场均得分能力,3号位需要提高篮板球争夺和助攻能力,2号位和1号位需要提高出手次数与场均得分能力;5)中国女篮替补球员与先遣队员的技术水平相差较大,尤其是2号位、3号位和4号位,需要针对性培养,缩小差距。通过展望中国女篮2024年巴黎奥运会前景后认为:中国队具备争夺奖牌的实力,美国队仍然具备金牌捍卫者的实力;比利时队、加拿大队将会是中国队争夺奖牌的主要对手;澳大利亚队、塞尔维亚队、法国队、西班牙队、日本队、韩国队仍是潜在对手。

To further enhance the competitiveness of Chinese women’s basketball and make better preparation for the Paris 2024 Olympic Games,this paper,using literature review,video analysis,mathematical statistics,and video observation method etc.,reviewed the play-by-play data in the 2022 FIBA Women's Basketball World Cup,and made a comprehensive analysis of the advantages and disadvantages of the Chinese women’s basketball team.Research suggests that:1)the Chinese women’s basketball team’s age and height have reached the level of the world’s top team,and the combination of inside players has become an advantage.2)The Chinese women’s basketball team showed an advantage in inside scoring and defensive rebound,but there is still disadvantages in second-chance points,fast break and offensive rebound.3)Many players in the Chinese women’s basketball team ranking the top 10 outstanding athletes in player efficiency rating,scoring,points per game,rebounding,assists and other technical indicators,have reached the world first-class level,and winning the second place in 2022 FIBA Women’s Basketball World Cup is well deserved.4)The center players need to improve rebounding and free throw percentage;the power forward players need to improve rebounding and scoring;the small forward players need to improve rebounding and assists;the shooting guard players need to make more shots and scoring;the point guard players need to make more shots and scoring.5)The gap between the starting lineup and bench player is big and need to be narrowed,especially the power forward players,the small forward players,and the shooting guard players.In the women’s basketball competition in Paris 2024 Olympic Games,it is believed that the Chinese women’s basketball team has the opportunity and strength to compete for the gold medal;US women’s basketball team remains strongest competitor;Belgium and Canada will be the main rivals for the medal competition;and the women’s teams of Australia,Serbia,France,Russia,Spain,Japan and South Korea will remain the potential rivals in the medal competition.