中国国民收入初次分配的测算和基于利润率的比较——基于马克思主义经济学的理论视角

Calculation of Initial Distribution of National Income in China and Comparison Based on Profit Rate——From the Theoretical Perspective of Marxist Economics

中国国民收入初次分配通常有三种数据来源:投入产出表、资金流量表和收入法GDP,且基于不同数据所做的研究存在着一定的差异。本文通过三种数据所测算的初次分配比例的对比发现,2008年后三种数据来源测得的初次分配比例呈收敛态势,后期年份相差无几。其差异主要存在于之前的年份。基于马克思主义经济学中利润率、资本积累和经济增长之间的密切联系,本文用不同的数据来源计算了利润率(以及增量利润率),并计算了其与经济增长率、资本增长率之间的相关系数。基于对相关系数之间的比较,我们发现投入产出表数据和经济增长率之间的关系是最紧密的,但是缺乏连续的年度数据。如果需要分析资本积累和盈利性之间的动态关系,则可以采用收入法GDP(使用资金流量表数据补全)计算的年度利润率。

There are usually three data sources for the initial distribution of national income in China:input-output table,capital flow table,and income-based CDP,and there are some differences in the research based on different data.Through the comparison of the initial distribution ratio measured by three kinds of data,it is found that the initial distribution ratio measured by three kinds of data sources is convergent after 2008,and it is almost the same in the later years.The difference mainly exists in previous years.Based on the close relationship among profit rate,capital accumulation,and economic growth in Marxist economics,this paper calculates profit rate(and adjusted profit rate)with different data sources,and calculates the correlation coefficient between profit rate and economic growth rate,as well as the correlation coefficient between profit rate and capital growth rate.Based on the comparison of correlation coefficients,we find that the relationship between input-output table data and economic growth rate is the closest,but there is no continuous annual data.If you need to analyze the dynamic relationship between capital accumulation and profitability,you can use the annual profit rate calculated by income GDP(supplemented by the data of capital flow statement).