碳中和目标下全球清洁能源消纳的风险识别与规避路径研究

Risk Identification and Avoidance Path of Global Clean Energy Consumption under Target of Carbon Neutrality

加快向清洁能源转型是二十一世纪的全球目标,在碳中和目标约束下,清洁能源消纳的机遇与挑战并存。本文聚焦不同类别的清洁能源消纳风险,对此进行识别并讨论其风险规避路径。通过深入分析极端天气风险、资源分布的均衡性、消纳技术的特点与应用、政策不确定性、市场及投资环境等情况,发现清洁能源消纳面临多维度、强交叉性风险。鉴于此,提出一套针对性的综合策略,从而促进清洁能源的稳健发展并加速其全球化消纳,包括强化国际合作、选择消纳技术演进路径、加强跨区域政策及监管,构建灵活高效的能源市场等。通过这些策略,旨在为实现清洁能源的广泛应用与可持续消纳提供实用路径,进而支持全球碳中和目标的达成。

Accelerating the transition to clean energy is a global target for the 21st century,and under the constraint of carbon neutrality,there are both opportunities and challenges for clean energy consumption.This paper focuses on different types of clean energy consumption risks,identifies and discusses their risk avoidance pathways.Through in-depth analyses of extreme climate risks,the imbalance of resource distribution,the characteristics and applications of consumption technologies,policy uncertainties,and the market and investment environment,it is found that the consumption of clean energy faces multi-dimensional and strong crossover risks.In view of this,a targeted and comprehensive strategy is proposed to promote the steady development of clean energy and accelerate its global consumption,including strengthening international cooperation,choosing the evolution path of consumption technology,strengthening cross-regional policies and supervision,and building a flexible and efficient energy market.These strategies are designed to provide a practical path for the wide use and sustainable consumption of clean energy,thus supporting the global carbon neutrality.