欧洲高等教育的未来图景

The Future Vision of European Higher Education

外部环境快速变化正在对未来高等教育带来系统性挑战,主要包括高等教育使命与目标的转变、价值与功能的质疑和结构与模式的迁移等,世界高等教育正在面临重要战略机遇期和转型期,开展前瞻性的全球高等教育未来图景研究兼具必要性和紧迫性。选取欧洲区域高等教育变革实践作为研究案例,以欧洲大学协会近五年发布的与大学未来发展相关的政策文本为单元,分析欧洲大学在创新生态系统、可持续转型和数字化转型中的角色作用及未来目标路径,可以归纳出欧洲大学2030年愿景的核心框架和三种情景设想,未来图景设计过程中的四方面内在逻辑关系,以及面向2030的欧洲高等教育未来图景的方法思路及重要意义。

The rapidly changing external environment is posing systemic challenges to the future of higher education,primarily encompassing shifts in the mission and goals of higher education,questioning of its value and function,as well as transitions in its structures and models.World higher education is currently at a crucial strategic opportunity and transformation phase,with global higher education organizations and institutions actively exploring future development pathways.Therefore,conducting forward-looking global higher education future scenario research is both necessary and urgent.Taking the European regional higher education transformation practices as a case study,this paper analyzes the roles and future goal paths of European universities in innovation ecosystems,sustainable transformation,and digital transition based on policy texts released by the European University Association over the last five years.It summarizes the core framework of European universities’2030 vision and presents three imaginative scenarios,outlining four inherent logical relationships in the process of future scenario design.Finally,it concludes the background,methodology,and significant implications of the European higher education future scenario for 2030.