山东家禽产业经济与生态环境耦合协调研究

Study on the Coupling and Coordination of Economy and Ecological Environment for Poultry Industry in Shandong Province

通过综合评价模型对2012年-2020年山东省家禽产业经济与生态环境两大系统进行综合评价,运用耦合协调度模型分析两大系统的耦合协调关系。结果表明:①家禽产业经济与生态环境综合发展水平都呈上升趋势,发展态势良好。2017-2020年家禽产业的快速发展,养殖规模不断扩大,加上养殖过程中废弃物处理存在许多不足,给生态环境带来严重的不利影响,致使生态环境与家禽产业经济呈现出反向变动关系。②2012-2020年家禽产业经济系统与生态环境系统相互作用的影响强度很高,耦合度都在0.9以上。③2015-2020年两大系统耦合协调度呈上升态势,逐渐向协同发展推进;但两大系统耦合协调度不高,2020年两大系统还处在濒临失调状态。综上,要在注重家禽产业的发展的同时,还要高度重视生态环境的保护,推进家禽产业高质量发展。

By comprehensively evaluating the economic and ecological systems of the poultry industry in Shandong Province from 2012 to 2020 using an integrated assessment model,this study analyzed the coupling coordination relationship between the two systems using a coupling coordination degree model.The results show that:①the comprehensive development level of the poultry industry's economy and ecological environment is on the rise,with a good development trend.The rapid development of the poultry industry from 2017 to 2020,continuous expansion of breeding scale,and many shortcomings in waste treatment during breeding have brought serious adverse effects on the ecological environment,resulting in a reverse dynamic relationship between the ecological environment and the poultry industry economy.②The intensity of interaction between the economic system of the poultry industry and the ecological environment system from 2012 to 2020 is very high,with coupling degrees both above 0.9.③The coupling coordination degree of the two systems from 2015 to 2020 is on the rise,gradually advancing towards coordinated development;however,the coupling coordination degree of the two systems is not high,and in 2020,the two systems are still on the verge of imbalance.In conclusion,while focusing on the development of the poultry industry,attention must also be paid to the protection of the ecological environment to promote the high-quality development of the poultry industry.