沿黄九省区旅游经济发展潜力测度与影响因素

The potential measurement and influencing factors of tourism economic development potential of nine provinces and regions along the Yellow River

为有效识别沿黄九省区旅游经济发展趋向高质量发展的动力来源和新增长点,运用熵值法、探索性空间数据分析和地理探测器分析法,对沿黄九省区旅游经济发展潜力进行测度,并对其空间分异特征和影响因素进行分析。结果表明:(1)沿黄九省区旅游经济发展综合潜力水平存在显著差距,而相邻省区差距较小,质量效益潜力、动力保障潜力水平除个别省区出现较低和较高值外,其余省区差距较小,各省区经济结构潜力水平均较低且差距较小;(2)沿黄九省区旅游经济发展潜力空间上呈现显著差异和不均衡的分异特征,只有综合潜力和经济结构潜力呈现显著的空间集聚特征,但局部集聚水平较低;(3)上游和中下游发展潜力影响因素差异较大,上游的动力来源主要为质量效益,中下游发展潜力影响因素较全面且只有环境保障因素不显著。该研究可为挖掘沿黄九省区旅游经济发展潜力提供参考。

In order to effectively identify the power source and new growth point of the tourism economy development trend of high quality development in the nine provinces and regions along the Yellow River,using entropy method,exploratory spatial data analysis and geographic detector analysis to measure the development potential of the tourism economy in the nine provinces and regions along the Yellow River,and analyzes its spatial differentiation characteristics and influencing factors.The results showed that:(1)there was a significant gap in the comprehensive potential level of tourism economic development in nine provinces and regions in the Yellow River Basin,while the gap between neighboring provinces and regions was small;the level of quality benefit potential and power guarantee potential is relatively small except for lower and higher values in some provinces and regions.The level of economic structural potential of all provinces and regions is low and the gap is small;(2)The tourism economic development potential of nine provinces and regions showed significant differences and uneven differentiation characteristics in space,and only the comprehensive potential and economic structure potential showed significant spatial agglomeration characteristics,but the local agglomeration level was low;(3)The influencing factors of upstream and midstream and downstream development potential are quite different,the upstream power source is mainly quality and efficiency,the influencing factors of midstream and downstream development potential are more comprehensive and only environmental protection factors are not significant.The study can provide a reference for tapping the potential of tourism economy development in the Yellow River Basin.