全球自贸协定网络深化:中国位置与优化策略

Global FTA Network Deepening:China's Position and Optimization Strategy

基于WTO“深层协定”数据库,文章依据复杂网络模型构造相关网络测度指标,全面透视全球自贸协定网络演化过程及深化特征。从整体来看,自贸协定网络覆盖全球、复杂多维、聚集性强,层级结构特征明显;社团经过分裂、重组、融合趋于稳定。对比典型国家网络深化特征发现,各国三大网络中心性指标存在不同程度的上升,且区域差距显著。从中国位置来看,仍存在协定数量质量不足、自由贸易合作国有待扩大升级等问题;中国同欧盟国家以及墨西哥、加拿大等国家商签FTA难度较大;RCEP助推中日韩FTA谈判加速。基于此,构建面向全球的高标准自贸区网络,中国应着重关注全球FTA网络的“核心节点”,积极融入区域社团,借助网络优势拓展亚太“朋友圈”,为深化全球自贸协定网络发展提供中国策略。

Based on the WTO“Deep Agreement”database,the article constructs relevant network measure-ment indicators based on the complex network model,and comprehensively examines the evolution process and deepening characteristics of the global FTA network.As a whole,the network of FTAs covers the whole world,is complex,multi-dimensional,has strong aggregation,and is characterized by obvious hierarchical structure.The associations tend to stabilize after splitting,reorganization and fusion.Comparing the network deepening characteristics of typical countries,it is found that the centrality indicators of the three major networks in each country have risen to different degrees,and the regional gap is significant.From the perspective of China's position,there are still problems such as insufficient quantity and quality of agreements and free trade cooperation countries to be expanded and upgraded.It is difficult for China to negotiate FTAs with EU countries as well as Mexico and Canada,and RCEP has helped accelerate FTA negotiations between China,Japan and Republic of Korea.Based on this,to build a high-standard FTA network facing the world,China should focus on the“core nodes”of the global FTA network,actively integrate into the regional associations,expand the Asia-Pacific“circle of friends”by taking advantage of the network,and provide a Chinese strategy for deepening the development of the global FTA network.China's strategy for deepening the development of the global FTA network.