复杂性公共政策:范式变迁、研究框架与展望

Complex Public Policy:Paradigm Change,Research Framework and Prospect

随着全球化和社会多元化的发展,各类组织的外部环境充满不确定性和复杂性,决策风险急剧上升,导致公共政策过程愈发复杂。社会系统的复杂性得到越来越多的学者重视,复杂性理论的研究如雨后春笋般出现。与传统公共政策不同,复杂性公共政策更加关注系统构成、环境氛围和组织变迁等动态复杂因素,可为公共政策研究提供全新的视野和研究范式。本文通过梳理复杂性公共政策的研究进展与演进逻辑,识别传统公共政策的困境,分析公共政策范式变迁的必然性与趋势,探讨复杂性公共政策研究的范式变迁动因、理论研究框架及其在公共政策领域的适用性,展望复杂性公共政策的未来,以期为公共政策研究寻找新的理论基础,提供新的思想启迪。

With the development of globalization and social diversification,the external environment of various organizations is full of uncertainty and complexity,and the decision⁃making risk rises sharply,resulting in the increasing complexity of public policy process.More and more scholars pay attention to the complexity of social system and strive to pursue the research of complexity theory.Different from traditional public policy,the research of complex public policy focuses on dynamic complex factors such as system composition,environmental atmosphere,and organizational change,which can provide a new vision and research paradigm for public policy research.This paper combs the research progress and evolution logic of complex public policy,identifies the dilemma of traditional public policy,and analyzes the inevitability and trend of paradigm change of public policy.Through discussing the paradigm change motivation and theoretical research framework of complex public policy research and its applicability in the field of public policy,this paper looks forward to the future of complex public policy,in order to find a new theoretical basis and provide new ideological enlightenment for public policy research.