产业链韧性对经济高质量发展的影响

Impact of Industrial Chain Resilience on High-Quality Economic Development

基于2011—2022年长三角地区41个城市的面板数据,运用计量模型,分析研究了产业链韧性对经济高质量发展的影响效果及作用机制,并构建空间杜宾模型探索了产业链韧性对经济高质量发展的空间效应影响。结果表明:产业链韧性对经济高质量发展有显著正向作用;产业链韧性可以通过产业结构升级和产业创新两条路径来促进经济高质量发展;产业链韧性对于都市圈内城市和区位更具优势的城市的经济高质量发展的促进效果更明显;产业链韧性提升对周边城市经济高质量发展存在正向溢出效应。认为应从产业链延链补链强链、改善创新环境、做大产业集群等方面提升产业链韧性,推动产业转型升级和产业创新,促进经济高质量发展。

Based on the panel data of 41 cities in the Yangtze River Delta region from 2011 to 2022,the impact and mechanism of industrial chain resilience on high-quality economic development were analyzed and studied by using the econometrics model,and a spatial Durbin model was constructed to explore the spatial effect of industrial chain resilience on high-quality economic development.The results showed that:the resilience of the industrial chain could have a significant positive effect on the high-quality development of the economy;the resilience of the industrial chain could promote high-quality economic development through industrial structure upgrading and industrial innovation;the resilience of the industrial chain could have a more obvious effect on the high-quality economic development of cities in the metropolitan area and cities with more advantageous locations;the improvement of the resilience of the industrial chain could have a positive spillover effect on the high-quality economic development of surrounding cities.It was believed that the resilience of the industrial chain should be enhanced from the aspects of extending the industrial chain,supplementing the chain and strengthening the chain,improving the innovation environment,and expanding industrial clusters,so as to promote industrial transformation and upgrading and industrial innovation,and promote high-quality economic development.