观念与中国经济转型——以区域发展的空间政治经济学为例

Mindset and Chinese Economic Transition——Take the Spatial-political Economy of Regional Development as an Example

观念(包括情感)对于转型的影响能够被感知,但在经济学研究中较少涉及。有必要首先厘清一些看似观念实为制度的因素,在此基础上,得出观念受到历史、认知和个体出身的影响,并且容易通过社会身份和群分效应得以强化。在大国的区域发展政策中,很多阻碍政策实施及经济社会转型的空间政治经济学困境,都可以从观念中找到根源。观念会发生变化并且制约转型,因此,不可能存在事先计划的最优转型路径。转型路径是演化的,转型速度受制于观念及人们的相互影响,因此,通过转变观念来推进转型能够提升社会福利。

The influence of mindset(including emotion)on transition can be perceived,but it is rarely covered in economic research.This paper first clarifies some factors that appear to be mindsets but are actually institutions,and on this basis,I argue that mindsets are influenced by history,cognition,and individual origin,and are easily reinforced by social identity and peer effects.In the regional development policies of a large country like China,many of the dilemmas of spatial political economy that hinder policy implementation and economic and social transition can be traced back to the mindsets.Mindsets change and constrain transition,so there can be no pre-planned optimal transitional path.The path of transition is evolutionary,and the speed of transition is limited by mindsets and people’s mutual interaction,so promoting transformation by changing mindsets can improve social welfare.