摘要
A troubling feedback loop, where drier soil contributes to hotter climates, has been widely recognized.This study, drawing on climate model simulations, reveals that maintaining current global soil moisture levels could significantly alleviate 32.9% of land warming under low-emission scenarios. This action could also postpone reaching critical warming thresholds of 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C by at least a decade. Crucially,preserving soil moisture at current levels could prevent noticeable climate change impacts across 42%of the Earth's land, a stark deviation from projections suggesting widespread impacts before the 2060s.To combat soil drying, afforestation in mid-to-low latitude regions within the next three decades is proposed as an effective strategy to increase surface water availability. This underscores the substantial potential of nature-based solutions for managing soil moisture, benefiting both climate change mitigation and ecological enhancement.
作者
左志燕
乔梁
张人禾
陈德亮
朴世龙
肖栋
张楷文
Zhiyan Zuo;Liang Qiao;Renhe Zhang;Deliang Chen;Shilong Piao;Dong Xiao;Kaiwen Zhang(Key Laboratory of Polar Atmosphere-ocean-ice System for Weather and Climate of Ministry of Education/Shanghai Key Laboratory of Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Boundary Dynamics and Climate Change,Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences/Institute of Atmospheric Sciences,Fudan University,Shanghai 200438,China;Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters,Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology,Nanjing 210044,China;Department of Earth Sciences,University of Gothenburg,Gothenburg 40530,Sweden;Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science,College of Urban and Environmental Sciences,Peking University,Beijing 100091,China;Key Laboratory of Cites’Mitigation and Adaptation to Climate Change in Shanghai,China Meteorological Administration,Shanghai 200030,China)
基金
supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (42288101, 42175053)
the National Key Research and Development Program of China (2022YFF0801703)
supported by Swedish BECC and MERGE,the Swedish Research Council VR (2021-02163, 2022-06011)。