社会流动性对农业转移人口市民化意愿的影响

The Impact of Social Mobility on Rural Migrants'Urbanization Intention

农业转移人口市民化是当前新型城镇化的首要任务。促进农业转移人口市民化,是维护农业转移人口切身利益的客观要求,也是畅通城乡循环、实现经济高质量发展的必然选择。文章基于2015年全国1%人口抽样调查数据测算了不同地级市的社会流动性水平,并将地级市特征信息与中国流动人口动态监测调查(CMDS)数据进行匹配,实证考察了社会流动性对农业转移人口市民化意愿的影响。研究结果表明,社会流动性对农业转移人口市民化意愿具有正向影响,该结论具有稳健性,且在考虑了内生性问题后依旧成立。机制检验发现,较高的社会流动性能够促进农业转移人口在流入地的经济、社交和心理融入,进而提升其市民化意愿。异质性分析发现,社会流动性对农业转移人口市民化意愿的影响因地区劳动力市场化程度和个体人力资本水平差异而存在异质性。据此,文章建议积极营造公平开放的社会环境,畅通社会流动渠道,以吸引农业转移人口安居落户。

Promoting rural migrants'urbanization is not only necessary to safeguard the vital interests of rural migrants,but also crucial for facilitating a smooth urban-rural circulation and a high-quality economic growth.By matching the city-level intergenerational social mobility data constructed using the Chinese General Social Survey(CGSS)with micro-data from China Migrants Dynamic Survey(CMDS),this study examines the impact of social mobility on rural migrants'urbanization intention.The results show that social mobility of the receiving city exerts a positive impact on rural migrants'urbanization intention.The conclusion is robust and holds true after considering endogenous issues.Further mechanism tests suggest that higher social mobility can promote the economic,social and psychological integration of rural migrants in destination cities,thus increasing their urbanization intention.Heterogeneity tests reveal that labor urbanization and individual human capital can strengthen the impact of social mobility on rural migrants'urbanization intention.Conclusive remarks are made to foster a fair and inclusive social environment and to facilitate social mobility channel,in order to attract and integrate rural migrants.