基于灰色聚类决策模型的太行山区乡村振兴绩效评价

Performance Evaluation of Rural Revitalization in Taihang Mountainous Area Based on Gray Clustering Decision Model

太行山区作为中国实施乡村振兴战略的重点区域,对太行山区乡村振兴战略实施效果进行绩效评价,对于进一步提高太行山区乡村振兴水平具有重要意义。首先对乡村振兴的内涵和关键影响因素进行分析,从产业兴旺、生态宜居、治理有效、乡风文明、生活富裕等5个维度建立太行山区乡村振兴绩效评价指标体系;然后运用熵值法确定各指标权重,计算出2020年太行山区主要分布的11个区域乡村振兴绩效综合评价值;接着采用基于端点混合可能度函数的灰色聚类模型,对太行山区11个区域进行灰色聚类决策分析,结果表明:1)太行山各区域乡村振兴绩效差别大,只有石家庄属于高绩效地区,属于中等绩效的区域有承德、保定、邢台和邯郸4个区域,属于低等绩效包括以忻州市为首的6个区域;2)根据各指标所属灰类得出太行山区应优化产业结构、加强空气质量监测治理、推动农村基础设施建设和加大对当地居民的扶持,以提高太行山区乡村振兴绩效。最后基于以上结论,从积极推动跨区域协作,大力培养有潜力区域和重点关注空气质量等方面提出建议,以加快太行山区乡村振兴进程。

As a key area for implementing the rural revitalization strategy in China,evaluating the performance of the implementation of the rural revitalization strategy in the Taihang Mountains is of great significance for further improving the level of rural revitalization in the Taihang Mountains.The article first analyzes the connotation and key influencing factors of rural revitalization,and establishes a performance evaluation index system for rural revitalization in the Taihang Mountains from five dimensions:prosperous industry,livable ecology,effective governance,civilized rural culture,and prosperous life.Then,the entropy method is used to determine the weights of each indicator,and the comprehensive evaluation values of rural revitalization performance in the 11 main distribution areas of the Taihang Mountains in 2020 are calculated.Subsequently,a grey clustering model based on endpoint mixed likelihood function was used to conduct grey clustering decision analysis on 1l regions in the Taihang Mountains The results showed that:1)There were significant differences in the performance of rural revitalization among different regions in the Taihang Mountains,with only Shijiazhuang being a high performance area,the areas with medium performance included Chengde,Baoding,Xingtai,and Handan,and the six areas led by Xinzhou City were classified as low performance areas;2)According to the grey category of each indicator,it is concluded that the Taihang Mountains should optimize the industrial structure,strengthen air quality monitoring and governance,promote rural infrastructure construction,and increase support for local residents to improve the performance of rural revitalization in the Taihang Mountains.Based on the above conclusions,the paper proposes suggestions to actively promote cross-regional cooperation,vigorously cultivate potential regions,and focus on air quality in order to accelerate the process of rural revitalization in the Taihang Mountains.