共同富裕视角下经济增长与收入分配差距的关系研究

Research on the Relationship Between Economic Growth and Income Distribution Gap from the Perspective of Common Prosperity

“共同富裕”作为中国特色社会主义现代化建设的根本奋斗目标,其核心概念包括经济增长和收入分配,二者的互动关系一直是学术界争论的焦点。本文通过面板向量自回归模型,基于2002-2019年我国31个省份的季度面板数据,实证分析了经济增长和收入分配差距之间的动态互动关系。结论显示:经济增长和收入分配间的相关关系存在区域和城乡异质性;经济增长对收入分配差距在东部城镇地区存在正向影响,在中部和西部城镇地区反之;收入分配差距对经济增长在东部农村地区表现出显著的正向影响,在中部城镇和西部地区表现为“倒S型”的正向关系。

"Common prosperity"is the fundamental goal of socialist modernization with Chinese characteristics.Its core concepts include economic growth and income distribution.The interactive relationship between the two has always been the focus of academic debate.This article uses a panel vector autoregressive model and empirically analyzes the dynamic interactive relationship between economic growth and income distribution gap based on quarterly panel data from 31 provinces in my country from 2002 to 2019.The conclusion shows that:the correlation between economic growth and income distribution has regional and urban-rural heterogeneity;economic growth has a positive impact on the income distribution gap in eastern urban areas,and vice versa in central and western urban areas;the income distribution gap has a positive impact on economic growth.The eastern rural areas show a significant positive impact,while the central urban and western areas show an"inverted S-shaped"positive relationship.