数字经济对物流业与现代农业融合发展的影响

Influence of Digital Economy on the Integrated Development of LogisticsIndustry and Modern Agriculture

物流业与现代农业融合发展是实现乡村振兴、畅通国内大循环的重要内容,数字经济以通用技术为核心技术体系,能够突破两业之间技术壁垒,促进物流业与现代农业技术间、产品与业务间、市场间深度融合。在界定核心概念、深入分析数字经济影响物流业与现代农业融合发展机理的基础上,运用2014—2021年我国省级面板数据,实证检验数字经济对物流业与现代农业融合发展的影响。研究表明:观察期内全国物流业与现代农业融合发展水平整体较低,且东中西部有差异,东部整体处于勉强融合阶段,中部处于濒临失调阶段,西部处于失调阶段;全国技术融合发展水平最低,市场融合发展水平最高。数字经济显著促进物流业与现代农业融合发展水平,且直接促进两业技术融合和产品与业务融合发展;技术创新、扩大市场需求具有显著的中介效应,说明数字经济能够通过加速各地区技术创新和扩大市场消费需求促进物流业与现代农业融合发展;产业政策和市场化程度具有显著的调节作用,说明各地区产业政策支持和良好的市场环境有利于强化数字经济对物流业与现代农业融合发展的促进作用。异质性分析发现,数字经济对东中部、西部、粮食非主产区物流业与现代农业融合发展均具有显著促进作用,且对西部和粮食非主产区两业融合发展的促进作用更为显著。据此,应加快各地区物流数字化和农业数字化发展;鼓励各地区依托数字技术进行技术创新、降低交易成本、扩大市场需求;有效市场和有为政府相结合,不断提高市场化程度和完善产业政策;加快各区域数字经济均衡发展,全面提升物流业与现代农业融合发展水平。

The integrated development of logistics industry and modern agriculture is an important part of realizing rural revitalization and unimpeded domestic circulation.The digital economy,with general technology as its core technology system,can break through the technical barriers between the two industries and promote the deep integration of logistics industry and modern agricultural technology,products and businesses,and markets.Based on the definition of core concepts and the in-depth analysis of the mechanism of the digital economy affecting the integrated development of logistics industry and modern agriculture,the author empirically tests the impact of digital economy on the integrated development of logistics industry and modern agriculture by using China's provincial panel data from 2014-2021.It is found that:during the observation period,the level of the integrated development of the national logistics industry and modern agriculture is low as a whole,and there are differences in the east,central,and western parts,namely the eastern part is in the stage of barely integration,the central part is on the verge of imbalance,and the western part is in the stage of imbalance;and the country has the lowest level of technological integration and the highest level of market integration.Digital economy has significantly promoted the integrated development level of logistics industry and modern agriculture,and directly promoted the integration of technology and product and business of the two industries;technological innovation and market demand expansion have a significant intermediary effect,indicating that the digital economy can promote the integrated development of logistics industry and modern agriculture by accelerating regional technological innovation and expanding market consumption demand;and industrial policies and the degree of marketization have a significant regulatory effect,indicating that regional industrial policy support and a good market environment are conducive to strengthening the digital economy's role in promoting the integrated development of logistics industry and modern agriculture.Heterogeneity analysis shows that digital economy has a significant promoting effect on the integrated development of logistics industry and modern agriculture in the eastern,central,western and non-major grain-producing areas,and has a more significant promoting effect on the integrated development of the two industries in the western and non-major grain-producing areas.According to this,it is suggested that,first,we should accelerate the development of logistics digitization and agriculture digitization;second,we should encourage all regions to rely on digital technology to carry out technological innovation,reduce transaction costs,and expand market demand;third,we should combine the efficient market and proactive government,continuously improve the degree of marketization and improve industrial policies;and fourth,we should accelerate the balanced development of digital economy in all regions,and comprehensively improve the integrated development level of logistics industry and modern agriculture.