新时代城乡融合发展:“三生融合”演进及其驱动因素

Urban-rural Integrated Development Areas in the New Era:the Evolution and Driving Factors of“Production Integration,Life Integration and Ecological Integration”

生产融合—生活融合—生态融合(简称“三生融合”)是新时代大力推进城乡深度融合和实现城乡共同富裕的必由之路。运用改进CRITIC法、改进耦合协调度模型、剪刀差模型、莫兰指数和地理探测器模型,深入探究2012—2021年我国城乡“三生融合”的演进特征及驱动因素。结果表明:(1)城乡“三生融合”总体水平和子系统水平均出现不同程度上升,但生态融合与生产融合、生活融合演化速率剪刀差不断拉大,三者极差呈现“V”型变化;(2)生态融合是制约“三生融合”系统耦合的主要因素;(3)城乡“三生融合”耦合协调度在观察期内上升速率放缓,整体陷入发展困境,而且区域异质性明显,高值区域由东中部地区向西部地区和东北地区扩展;(4)政府干预程度等显著影响城乡“三生融合”耦合协调度,各个因素对子系统存在不同的影响;(5)子系统水平和耦合协调度水平问题区域分析表明,我国城乡融合发展主要问题区域集中在西部地区和东北地区。

“Production Integration,Life Integration and Ecological Integration”is a necessary way to vigorously promote the deep integration of urban and rural areas in the new era and to achieve common prosperity in urban and rural areas.Using the improved CRITIC method,the improved coupling coordination model,the scissor model,the Moran index and the geodetector model,the evolutionary characteristics of China’s urban-rural“Production Integration,Life Integration and Ecological Integration”and its driving factors from 2012 to 2021 are explored in depth.The results show that:(1)The overall level and subsystem level of urban-rural“Production Integration,Life Integration and Ecological Integration”have risen to different degrees,but the scissors difference between the evolution rates of ecological integration,production integration and life integration has been widening,and the polarity difference between the three shows a“V”change;(2)Ecological integration is a major constraint to the coupling of the“Production Integration,Life Integration and Ecological Integration”system;(3)The increase in the degree of coordination of the urban-rural“Production Integration,Life Integration and Ecological Integration”coupling has slowed down during the observation period,and the whole is in a different situation of development,and the regional heterogeneity was obvious,with the high value expanding from the east-central region to the western and northeastern regions;(4)Factors such as the degree of government intervention significantly affect the degree of coordination of urban-rural“Production Integration,Life Integration and Ecological Integration”coupling,and each factor has a different impact on the subsystems;(5)The analysis of the problem areas at the level of subsystems and the level of coupling and coordination shows that China’s urban-rural integration and development are mainly concentrated in the western region and the northeastern region.