我国省域旅游业高质量发展时空演变、影响因素及空间溢出效应

Spatio-temporal Evolution,Influencing Factors and Spatial Spillover Effects of High-quality Development of Provincial Tourism Industry in China

基于新发展理念构建旅游业高质量发展评价指标体系,采用熵值法、探索性空间数据分析法对2010—2019年中国旅游业高质量发展水平及时空演化特征进行分析,运用空间杜宾模型(SDM)探究旅游业高质量发展的影响因素及其空间溢出效应。结果表明:(1)研究期内中国各省(区、市)旅游业高质量发展整体水平不高,但呈现不同程度的增长势头,省域间差距逐步缩小。(2)中国旅游业高质量发展水平呈现东强西弱、南高北低的空间非均衡格局,全局空间集聚程度增强。(3)旅游业高质量发展存在显著空间溢出效应,经济发展水平、旅游资源禀赋和生态环境质量对本地旅游业高质量发展具有促进作用,对邻地旅游业高质量发展具有正向空间效应;区位交通和对外开放度对本地旅游业高质量发展具有促进作用,但对邻地旅游业高质量发展呈现负向溢出效应。

Based on the new development concept,an evaluation index system for the high-quality development of tourism is constructed,and the entropy method and exploratory spatial data analysis method are used to analyze the high-quality development level and spatial-temporal evolution characteristics of China’s tourism industry from 2010 to 2019.The Durbin model is used to explore the influencing factors and spatial spillover effects of high-quality tourism development.The results show that:(1)During the sample survey period,the overall level of high-quality tourism development in China’s provinces was not high,but it showed a growth trend of varying degrees and the gap between provinces is gradually narrowing.(2)The level of high-quality development of China’s tourism industry presents a spatial imbalance pattern of“strong in the east and weak in the west,high in the south and low in the north”,with an increased degree of global spatial agglomeration.(3)The high-quality development of tourism has a significant spatial spillover effect.Economic development,tourism resource endowment and ecological environment quality can promote the high-quality development of local tourism and have a positive spatial spillover effect on neighboring tourism high-quality development;And traffic conditions and the degree of opening can also promote local tourism high-quality development,but it has a negative spillover effect on neighboring tourism high-quality development.