中国省域旅游产业竞争力的时空格局与演进规律

The Spatiotemporal Pattern and Evolutionary Law of Provincial TourismIndustry Competitiveness in China

以“十四五”旅游产业系列发展规划为指导,围绕旅游产业发展基础和发展潜力两个维度构建产业竞争力测度指标体系,从横向和纵向两个视角动态分析“十三五”时期省域旅游产业综合竞争力的时空格局及演变规律。结果表明:(1)“十三五”时期省域旅游产业竞争力空间分布存在显著差异,在发展基础和潜力方面整体呈现“高-升”“高-降”“低-升”“低-降”四种类型;(2)在空间布局上,省域旅游产业竞争力存在两极分化现象,但并未呈现与一般产业竞争力自东向中西部内陆阶梯式递减的分布格局;(3)在时间演进上,省域旅游产业竞争力总体波动差异大,但竞争力较强的区域波幅明显小于竞争力偏弱的地区。文章提出,在微观区域产业建设中要以补齐短板和巩固优势相结合,夯实产业基础;中观产业规划中要根据产业趋势做出适应性调整,贯彻可持续发展思路,培育产业新动能;宏观产业结构优化过程中要深化供给侧结构性改革,激发市场活力,提高产业综合质量。

Based on the strategic framework outlined in the 14th Five-Year Plan for the tourism industry,this research constructs an evaluative system for measuring industry competitiveness centered around two pivotal dimensions:the tourism sector’s foundational development and growth potential.Employing horizontal and vertical analytical perspectives,the study methodically examines the spatiotemporal dynamics and the evolutionary trends of provincial tourism industry competitiveness during the 13th Five-Year Plan.The results reveal(1)During the 13th Five-Year Plan,provincial tourism industry competitiveness exhibited significant spatial disparities,characterized by four distinct development trajectories in terms of foundational growth and potential:high-increase,high-decrease,low-increase,and low-decrease.(2)Spatially,the competitiveness of China’s regional tourism industry continues to demonstrate a marked polarization,deviating from the typical east-to-central-western inland gradient decline observed in general industrial competitiveness.(3)Over time,the regional tourism industry’s competitiveness across China has shown notable fluctuations,with regions of higher competitiveness experiencing less volatility than their less competitive counterparts.The study advocates for a comprehensive approach in regional industry development that at the micro level,it calls for a dual strategy of addressing deficiencies while reinforcing existing strengths to solidify the industry’s foundation.At the meso level,it emphasizes the need for adaptive adjustments in alignment with industry trends,advocating for sustainable development and the cultivation of new drivers of industry growth.At the macro level,it recommends intensifying supply-side structural reforms to invigorate market dynamism and elevate the overall quality of industry development.