无人经济趋势下的未来城市空间创新与规划应对

Future Urban Spatial Innovation and Planning Response Under the Trend of Unmanned Economy

聚焦无人化趋势下的城市新型人地关系,结合无人化趋势带来的业态创新和就业模式变化,推演未来可能出现的无人化场景及其对规划技术提出的新挑战,由此得出如下新趋势并提出相应的规划应对设想:在无人化趋势下,以人定地的空间规模预测方式的适用性会降低,需要在系统考虑机器换人对各类用地影响的基础上确定城镇空间发展规模;无人化生产和劳动力替代将在一定程度上重构现有的产城空间格局,未来需要加强对无人化产业空间的学术研究和规划技术研究;未来城市会出现大量“人—机”共存交互的空间场景并产生相应的治理难题,急需从时空行为活动导控方面探索提升建成空间利用效率的规划新理论和新方法。

Based on the"new man-land relationship"in cities under the trend of unmanned economy,and the change of business and employment models,the unmanned scenarios in the future and their challenges to planning technology are deduced.The following new trends and corresponding planning responses are proposed in this research:In unmanned scenario,the applicability of the spatial scale prediction method of"people determine the land"will be reduced,and the scale of urban spatial development needs to be determined based on the systematic consideration of the impact of machine replacement on various types of land use;unmanned production and labor substitution will reconstruct the existing industry-city spatial pattern to a certain extent.In the future,it is necessary to strengthen academic research and planning technology research on unmanned industrial space;in future cities,there will be many"human-machine"coexistence and interaction spatial scenarios and corresponding governance problems.It is urgent to explore new planning theories and methods to optimize the utilization efficiency of built space from the perspective of space-temporal behavior guidance and control.