中国文旅融合与经济韧性时空特征及互动关系研究

Spatial-Temporal Characteristics and Interaction between Integration of Culture and Tourism and Economic Resilience in China

新发展格局背景下,探究文旅融合与经济韧性之间的关系对推动中国经济高质量发展具有重要意义。文章基于中国31个省市2003—2020年面板数据,采用熵值法、耦合协调度模型与PVAR模型,综合测度文旅耦合协调度指数与经济韧性指数,分析二者的时空变化特征,并对文旅耦合与经济韧性之间的互动关系进行探索分析。研究发现:1)全国文旅耦合协调度整体偏低且呈东部高-中西部低的空间分布特征;2)经济韧性缓慢增长且呈东部沿海—中部内陆—西部地区逐渐递减的空间分布规律;3)虽均受重大卫生事件影响,但2020年文旅耦合协调度与经济韧性整体高于2003年;4)全国以及东、中、西部地区文旅耦合与经济韧性相互负向影响且短期内以负面作用为主,其影响水平逐渐减弱。该研究为破解文旅融合发展困境、强化区域经济韧性提供决策参考价值。

Against the backdrop of a new development paradigm and the challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic,China's economy has demonstrated remarkable resilience and vitality in its ongoing recovery.This resilient economic performance has not only facilitated the sustainable development of China's economy,but has also emerged as a potent driving force for broader social and economic transformation.Consequently,investigating the spatiotemporal distribution of cultural tourism integration and economic resilience along with their interactive relationship holds profound significance for advancing high-quality economic development in China.Despite its importance,the intricate relationship between cultural-tourism integration and economic resilience remains largely unexplored.This study addresses this gap by utilizing panel data from cultural and tourism industries spanning 31 provinces in China from 2003 to 2020.Employing the entropy method,coupling coordination degree model,and PVAR model,we comprehensively measured the coupling coordination degree of culture and tourism along with the economic resilience index.The findings reveal several key insights.(1)The overall coupling coordination degree of culture and tourism showed a fluctuating upward trend in China,but it exhibited a disordered state that transitioned from moderate to mild disharmony.Notably,there was a spatial distribution pattern with higher levels observed in the east and lower levels in the west in China.(2)The economic resilience index showed a slow upward trend in China,and significant regional differences in space generally followed a decreasing distribution pattern from east to middle to west.The mean of the economic resilience index shows a slow upward trend,and the changing trend in the mean of economic resilience across all dimensions is consistent.However,the growth rate of the total mean of the economic resilience index was higher than that of all the sub-dimensions.The means of the defense and recovery,adaptability and adjustment,and innovation and transformation dimensions showed a slow upward trend.(3)Despite the impact of major health events,the overall degree of coupling coordination of culture and tourism and the economic resilience index in 2020 surpassed the levels recorded in 2003.(4)Culture-tourism integration and economic resilience has a negative impact on each other,mainly in the short term across the country as well as in the eastern,central,and western regions.However,their long-term influence gradually weakened.The degree of negative interaction between cultural tourism and economic resilience among three regions in China is:Eastern>Central>Western.This study elucidates the spatiotemporal characteristics of the integration of culture and tourism with economic resilience,uncovering their short-term negative impacts on each other.By expanding the research scope of highquality development,our findings could provide a valuable decision-making reference for solving the developmental difficulties of cultural-tourism integration and strengthening regional economic resilience and have practical significance for scientifically steering the integration of culture and tourism development and promoting economic resilience amid the new development paradigm in China.This study provides decisionmaking reference value for solving the dilemma of cultural-tourism integration and strengthening regional economic resilience.