江苏省高职教育结构与产业结构的互动关系

Interaction Mechanism Between Higher Vocational Education Structure and Industrial Structure in Jiangsu Province

基于江苏省2001—2022年高职教育、产业和就业数据,对江苏省高职教育结构、产业结构变化进行分析,并运用VAR模型研究高职教育结构优化、产业结构合理化和高级化的互动关系。研究结果表明,江苏省高职教育结构优化、产业结构升级效果显著。产业结构合理化显著促进产业结构高级化,而产业结构高级化对合理化产生抑制作用。产业结构高级化和合理化均长期显著促进高职教育结构优化,且产业结构高级化的作用更明显,而高职教育结构优化并未显著促进产业结构升级,但长期来看高职教育结构优化对产业结构升级的贡献度高于产业结构合理化和高级化的相互作用。建议以产业结构高级化为核心、合理化为重点,进一步促进高职教育结构优化;释放高职教育潜力,力求以高职教育结构优化推动产业结构升级。

The changes of higher vocational education structure and industrial structure are analyzed based on the data of higher vocational education,industry and employment in Jiangsu Province from 2001 to 2022,and the interaction mechanism among higher vocational education structure optimization,industrial structure rationalization and advancement are studied by VAR model.The results show that,the effect of higher vocational education structure optimization and industrial structure upgrading in Jiangsu Province is remarkable.The industrial structure rationalization has a significant positive effect on the industrial structure advancement,while the industrial structure advancement has an inhibitory effect on rationalization.The industrial structure advancement and rationalization have a positive impact on the higher vocational education structure optimization in the long run,and the effect of the industrial structure advancement is more obvious,while the higher vocational education structure optimization has no impact on the industrial structure upgrading.However,the contribution of the higher vocational education structure optimization to the industrial structure upgrading is higher than the interaction between the industrial structure rationalization and advancement in the long run.It is suggested that the promotion effect of the industrial structure advancement and rationalization should be enlarged on the higher vocational education structure optimization,and the potential of positive impact of the higher vocational education structure optimization should be explored on the industrial structure upgrading.