数字经济与旅游经济的耦合协调发展研究——来自长三角地区41市的证据

Research on the Coupling and Coordinated Development of Digital Economy and Tourism Economy:Evidence from 41 Cities in the Yangtze River Delta Region

以长三角地区41市为研究对象,基于2011-2020年的市级面板数据,以熵值法计算相应地市的数字经济与旅游经济发展水平,通过耦合协调度模型研究二者耦合协调发展的时空分异特征,并利用障碍度模型探讨耦合系统协调发展的主要影响因素。结果表明:(1)长三角地区各地市两系统发展及综合评价指数除个别年份下降外,总体呈上升趋势;(2)研究期间,长三角地区数字经济与旅游经济的耦合协调度总体向好发展;(3)2011年、2014年、2017年和2020年截面数据表明,长三角地区各地市耦合协调度经历了失调衰退阶段-过渡阶段-协调提升阶段;(4)主要障碍因子为每百人国际互联网用户数、每百人移动电话用户数、国际旅游收入和国内旅游收入。最后,基于研究结论对如何进一步促进数字经济与旅游经济的协同发展提出建议。

Taking 41 cities in the Yangtze River Delta region as the research object,based on the municipal panel data from 2011 to 2020,the entropy method was used to calculate the economic development level of the digital economy and tourism economy of the corresponding cities,and the spatio-temporal differentiation characteristics of the coupling and coordinated development of the two cities were studied through the coupling coordination degree model,and the main influencing factors of the coordinated development of the coupling system were discussed by using the obstacle degree model.The results show that:The development and comprehensive evaluation index of municipal and municipal systems in the Yangtze River Delta region show an overall upward trend except for a few years;During the study period,the coupling coordination degree of digital economy and tourism economy in the Yangtze River Delta region generally developed well;The cross-sectional data of 2011,2014,2017 and 2020 show that the coupling coordination degree of cities in the Yangtze River Delta region has experienced a stage of imbalance decline-transition-stage-coordination improvement stage;The main obstacle factors are the number of Internet users per 100 people,the number of mobile phone users per 100 people,international tourism revenue and domestic tourism income.Finally,based on the research conclusions,suggestions are put forward to further promote the coordinated development of digital economy and tourism economy.