全国统一大市场建设与服务贸易高质量发展

Construction of a National Unified Market and High-Quality Development of Trade in Services

以全国统一大市场建设为出发点,采用2006—2020年跨国服务贸易数据,建立空间面板数据模型,实证分析内需扩大对服务贸易增长的影响机制。研究结果表明:(1)市场需求规模的扩大有助于促进服务贸易进出口,且随着市场需求规模的扩大,服务贸易出口的弹性系数增加。(2)市场需求规模对服务贸易进口的弹性系数大于对服务贸易出口的弹性系数。尽管随着市场需求规模的扩大,服务贸易进口和服务贸易出口都会增加,但服务贸易逆差不会减少。(3)不同于高端服务业,低端服务业的进出口更容易受到周边地区的影响,具有较强的空间效应;高法治环境相对于低法治环境更有利于对服务贸易进出口产生溢出效应。研究结论揭示了不同因素对服务贸易进出口的影响差异,为相关政策制定和国际贸易决策提供了有价值的参考。

This paper takes the construction of a unified national market as a starting point to empirically analyze the impact of expanding domestic demand on services trade by establishing a spatial panel data model using cross-country services trade data from 2006 to 2020.The findings show that increased market demand promotes the import and export of services,and the elasticity coefficient of service exports increases with the scale of market demand.Further,the elasticity of service imports is larger than that of service exports,and although service imports and exports both increase as market demand expands,the service-trade deficit does not decrease.In addition,compared to high-end services,the import and export of low-end services are more likely to be influenced by neighboring regions and have strong spatial effects;an environment in which the rule of law is strong is more conducive to the spillover on the import and export of services trade than an environment where it is weak.The findings reveal the differences in the impact of different factors on the import and export of services,providing a valuable reference point for policymaking and international trade decision-making.