特朗普和拜登兑现竞选承诺的比较分析

A Comparative Analysis of Trump and Bidens Fulfillment of Campaign Promises

共和党籍前总统特朗普和民主党籍现总统拜登将大概率代表两党在2024年美国总统选举中展开角逐。分析两者的执政表现可知,二人兑现竞选承诺的意愿、能力、侧重领域和结果均存在较大差异,拜登兑现竞选承诺的整体情况略优于特朗普。特朗普重视以减税、反移民和反全球化为代表的右翼民粹主义政治承诺,兑现贸易和外交领域承诺的情况最佳,对振兴制造业的诚意明显不足。拜登侧重推动“再工业化”的经济政策和加强气候治理,与国会合作通过三大支柱性立法,并为此在社会公平议程方面做出了较多让步。总体来说,特朗普兑现竞选承诺相对流于形式、浮于表面,经常出现夸大许诺、兑现打折的情况;拜登则诚意较足、较为务实,能够通过多方联动重点兑现关键承诺。二者兑现竞选承诺的情况主要受到美国政治极化、政党意识形态差异和其个人政策偏好、性格能力等因素的综合影响。

Former Republican President Donald Trump and current Democratic President Joe Biden are most likely to represent their respective parties in the 2024 U.S.presidential election.An analysis of their performance in office reveals significant differences in their willingness and ability to keep campaign promises as well as differences in their preferred policy areas and the actual results,with Biden slightly outperforming Trump overall.Specifically,Trump emphasized right-wing conservative political commitments such as tax cuts,anti-immigration,and antiglobalization,achieving the most success in fulfilling trade and foreign policy promises,while showing a notable lack of sincerity in“reviving manufacturing”.Biden has focused on“reindustrializing”the American economy and strengthening climate governance,while working with Congress to pass three key pieces of legislation and making considerable concessions on the social equity agenda.In general,Trump's fulfillment of campaign promises tended to be superficial and often involved exaggerated promises with underdelivered results.In contrast,Biden appeared more sincere and pragmatic,as he has effectively coordinated multiple parties to fulfill key promises.The differences in their fulfillment of campaign promises are primarily influenced by factors such as political polarization in the U.S.,inter-party ideological differences,and their personal characteristics and capabilities.