湘赣流域旅游产业效率的时空演化与比较——基于“十二五”和“十三五”时期的数据

The Spatio-Temporal Evolution and Comparison of TourismI Industry Efficiency in the Xiang-Gan River Basins——Based on the Data from the 12th and 13th Five-Year Plan Periods

旅游效率是衡量旅游业高质量发展的重要指标之一。通过建立五个要素层、六个指标的投入体系和两个要素层、四个指标的产出体系,运用DEA-MI模型,探讨赣江流域和湘江流域在“十二五”和“十三五”时期旅游业的时空变化,可以为流域旅游效率的发展提供参考。在时序演进上,两江流域旅游效率呈“M”型走向趋势;“十二五”时期赣江流域依靠优势资源取胜,“十三五”时期湘江流域依靠“头部文化”转败为胜;其中技术水平的发展速度是影响旅游业发展的主导因素。在空间分布上,两江流域标准差椭圆始终呈现“东北—西南”方向;赣江流域的空间格局变动主要体现在“十三五”时期,湘江流域则主要集中在“十二五”时期;长、潭、永包围圈的发展模式是湘江流域旅游业成功的关键。

Tourism efficiency is one of the most important indicators of high-quality tourism development.The article establishes an input system with five factor layers and six indicators,and an output system with two factor layers and four indicators,and uses the DEA-MI model to study the spatial and temporal changes of tourism in the Ganjiang River Basin and the Xiangjiang River Basin during the 12th Five-Year Plan period and the 13th Fve-Year Plan period.During the 12th Five-Year Plan period,the Ganjiang River Basin relied on its superior resources to win,while the Xiangjiang River Basin relied on its“head culture”and tended to turn defeat into victory during the 13th Five-Year Plan period.The development speed of technology is the dominant factor affecting the development of tourism.In terms of spatial distribution,the standard deviation ellipse of the two river basins always shows the direction of northeast-southwest.The spatial pattern of the Ganjianng River Basin mainly manifests itself in the 13th Five-Year Plan period,while the Xiangjiang River Basin mainly focuses on the 12th Five-Year Plan period.The development mode of the encirclement of Chang-Tan-Yong is the key to the success of tourism in the Xiangjiang River Basin.