基于文献计量分析的碳关税研究进展

Research Progress on Carbon Tariff Based on Bibliometric Analysis

为系统梳理碳关税领域研究特征、研究热点与演进,弥补欧盟碳边境调节机制正式实施背景下该领域文献综述的空缺,使用CiteSpace可视化分析软件从中国知网(CNKI)和Web of Science核心合集中筛选1998−2023年碳关税领域文献进行计量分析。结果表明:①探讨的主要内容包括碳关税的属性与实质、合法性与可行性、经济与环境影响和应对措施,呈现学科交叉的特点,不同研究者从各自的立场出发做出了差异化评价与论述,但使用的主要方法相对一致,包括可计算一般均衡模型、全球贸易分析模型和博弈分析。②该领域受到了官方政府和权威期刊的较高关注,机构间研究合作较为频繁,而国家间合作总体较少,国内研究的影响力较弱。③碳关税领域的发展演变分为萌芽、波动和复兴三个阶段。④领域内热点更迭较快,其中,碳边境调节机制突现强度最高,是整个学科知识转化与焦点转移的重要桥梁;碳中和、世贸组织规则和欧洲绿色新政等关键词是当前研究的前沿热点。后续研究可从关注政策最新设计和国际谈判动态、聚焦发展中国家利益和公平正义指标、以全球化视角综合考虑碳关税政策多维度影响以及从微观层面研究企业行为反应机制、加强国际合作与交流、创新多元化研究方法等方面展开。

With the European Union′s carbon border adjustment mechanism taking effect,carbon tariffs have become increasingly important in global political and economic discussions.This study conducts a bibliometric analysis of the literature in the field of carbon tariffs based on the research results of CNKI and Web of Science core collection databases from 1998 to 2023.CiteSpace is used to examine the collected research data.Specifically,this study conducts a comprehensive comparative analysis of the research characteristics,hot spots and trends in the field of carbon tariffs,addressing the existing gaps in the analysis of literature characteristics.The results show that researchers mainly explore the attributes and essence,legality and feasibility,economic and environmental impacts,and countermeasures of carbon tariffs,showcasing an interdisciplinary nature.Different researchers have given different evaluations and discussions from their own perspectives,but the main methodologies employed are relatively consistent,including the Computable General Equilibrium(CGE)model,the Global Trade Analysis Project(GTAP)and game analysis.This field has received considerable attention from official governments and authoritative journals.Institutional collaborations are frequent,while international collaborations are generally less common.Domestic research influence is relatively weak.The evolution of publication volume can be divided into three stages:budding stage,fluctuating stage and revival stage.Research hotspots in this field have changed rapidly,and the carbon boundary adjustment mechanism has become the most significant bridge for knowledge transformation and focus shift.Key terms such as carbon neutrality,World Trade Organization rules,and the European Green Deal represent current research frontiers.Possible future research can focus on the latest progress in policy design and international negotiations,conduct in-depth research on the interests and equity indicators of developing countries,assess the multifaceted impact of carbon tariff policies from a global respective,explore the micro-response mechanisms of corporate behavior,strengthen international cooperation and exchange,or create diverse research methods.