互联网发展会抑制旅游全要素生产率吗——基于“索洛悖论”的成因、特征与化解

Does Internet Development Suppress the Total Factor Productivity of Tourism:Based on the Causes,Characteristics and Resolution of“Solow Paradox”

互联网作为信息时代驱动经济社会发展的重要载体,对旅游全要素生产率产生何种影响?文章使用熵值法与Malmquist指数法分别测度2013—2020年各省份互联网发展水平与旅游全要素生产率,系统考察了互联网发展对旅游全要素生产率的影响。结果表明:互联网发展显著抑制旅游全要素生产率,验证了“索洛悖论”假说在旅游业的存在,原因在于互联网发展对旅游业要素配置形成非适应性冲击;异质性分析表明,“索洛悖论”主要出现在经济发展水平较低、数字基础设施相对薄弱与创新能力较差的地区。此外,旅游产业结构升级能够发挥均衡效应与升级效应,调节互联网与旅游全要素生产率之间的关系,从而有效化解“索洛悖论”。

Improving the total factor productivity of tourism is the key to achieving high-quality tourism development.As an important carrier of driving economic and social development in the information age,what impact does the Internet have on tourism total factor productivity?This paper uses entropy the method and Malmquist index method to measure the level of Internet development and total factor productivity of tourism in various provinces from 2013 to 2020,and systematically examines the impact of Internet development on total factor productivity of tourism.The study found that Internet applications significantly inhibited the total factor productivity of tourism,verifying the existence of the“Solow paradox”hypothesis in tourism.The main reason lies in the non-adaptive impact of Internet applications on the allocation of tourism elements.Heterogeneity test and mechanism analysis show that the“Solow Paradox”mainly exists in the central and western regions,the areas with weak information infrastructure and poor innovation ability.The main causes are the technological lag effect and the substitution effect of factors of Internet application to form an adaptive impact on tourism development.In addition,tourism industrial structure upgrading can play the role of factor balance and industrial upgrading,and adjust the relationship between the Internet and the total factor productivity of tourism to effectively avoid the“Solow paradox”.