河南省碳排放、经济增长和能源消费的关联度研究

The Correlation between Carbon Emissions,Economic Growth and Energy Consumption in Henan Province

2022年河南省GDP占全国的5.1%,能源消耗总量占全国的4.5%,消耗能源产生的碳排放量约是全国的4.7%,与已经实现碳达峰的省市相比仍需加强碳排放的管理。使用Tapio脱钩模型,对河南省2000-2022年碳排放、经济增长和能源消费三者之间的关联程度进行研究。结果表明:河南省碳排放、经济增长和能源消费之间仍存在不稳定的脱钩关系。河南省工业发展偏向重工业,对经济的贡献率呈下行趋势;减排、节能工作需继续推进,能源消费仍以煤炭为主,经济增长中仍存在较高的碳排放,尚未达到低碳目标;能源消费效率有待进一步提高,需进行针对性的政策调整。

In 2022,the GDP of Henan Province accounts for 5.1% of the country,the total energy consumption accounts for 4.5% of the country,and the carbon emissions generated by energy consumption is about 4.7% of the country.Compared with the provinces and cities that have achieved the carbon peak,the management of carbon emissions still needs to be strengthened.This paper uses the Tapio decoupling model to study the degree of correlation among carbon emissions,economic growth and energy consumption in Henan Province during 2000-2022.The results show that there is still an unstable decoupling relationship between carbon emission,economic growth and energy consumption in Henan Province.Energy consumption is still dominated by coal,and there are still high carbon emissions in economic growth,which has not yet reached the low-carbon goal.Energy consumption efficiency needs to be further improved;Industrial development is biased towards heavy industry,and the contribution rate to the economy shows a downward trend.The work of emission reduction and energy conservation needs to continue to advance,and targeted policy adjustments need to be made.