黄河流域国家水利风景区高质量发展的组态分析

Configuration analysis of high-quality development of national water park in the Yellow River Basin

高质量发展是新阶段水利风景区建设与管理的重点,而线性回归研究难以解释高质量发展的复杂性。运用组态思维,分析了管理和运营、安全管理、生态保护、文化挖掘与利用4个前因变量与社会效益、经济效益、生态效益和综合效益之间的复杂因果关系,并对93家黄河流域国家水利风景区进行了模糊集定性比较分析。研究结果表明:单个条件不是效益生成的必要条件,多个条件的组合才有助于效益的充分发挥,相比于管理和运营、安全管理和生态保护,文化挖掘与利用对效益生成的贡献相对较小;水利风景区高质量发展可分为管理模式、管理与生态保护模式和生态文化保护模式3种模式。高管理和运营、高安全管理的景区,高管理和运营、高生态保护的景区以及高生态保护、高文化挖掘与利用的景区有助于推动水利风景区高质量发展。

High-quality development is a priority for the construction and management of water park in the new stage,and linear regression studies are difficult to explain the complexity of high-quality development.Adopting configuration analysis,this paper analyzed the complex causal relationship between four antecedent variables,namely management and operation,safety management,ecological protection,cultural excavation and utilization and the social,economic,ecological,and comprehensive benefits,the fuzzy set of 93 Yellow River Basin National Water Park was qualitatively compared and analyzed.Studies have shown that single conditions are not necessary for the generation of benefits;a combination of conditions contribute to the full realization of benefits,and cultural excavation and utilization contribute the least to the generation of benefits compared to management and operation,safety management and ecological protection.There are three modes of high-quality development of water park:management mode,management and ecological protection model,and ecological and cultural protection mode.Scenic areas with high management and operation and high safety management,scenic areas with high management and operation and high ecological protection,and scenic areas with high ecological protection and high cultural excavation and utilization help promote the high-quality development of water park.