中国旅游经济高质量发展的时空演化与区域差异--基于新发展理念视角

Spatio-temporal evolution and regional differences of high-quality development of China's tourism economy:from the perspective of new development concept

该文基于新发展理念视角,构建旅游经济高质量发展评价指标体系,利用熵值法、核密度估计、莫兰指数、泰尔指数等,对中国旅游经济高质量发展的时空演化和区域差异进行分析.结果表明:(1)中国旅游经济高质量发展水平不高且提升缓慢,由0.194增长到0.306,创新和开放系统是旅游经济高质量发展的短板.(2)空间上呈现“同群效应”,大多为高高集聚或低低集聚,且正向“同群效应”有所强化.(3)中国旅游经济高质量发展泰尔指数由0.055下降至0.019,整体协调性有所改善,但区域之间存在一定“马太效应”.北部沿海经济区、西南经济区、南部沿海经济区和西北经济区属于曲折波动型差异,东北经济区、长江中游经济区、黄河中游经济区和东部沿海经济区属于同频共振型差异.

Based on the perspective of the new development concept,we construct the evaluation index system for the high-quality development of tourism economy,and analyze the spatial and temporal evolution and regional differences of the high-quality development of China's tourism economy by using entropy method,kernel density estimation,Moran index,and theil index.The results show that:(1)the high-quality development of China's tourism economy is low at level and slow in improvement,increasing from 0.194 to 0.306,and the deficiency in innovation and open systems hinders the high-quality development of the tourism economy.(2)The spatial“cohort effect”is present,with most of them being high-high agglomeration or low-low agglomeration,and the positive“cohort effect”has been strengthened.(3)The theil index of high-quality development of China's tourism economy has decreased from 0.055 to 0.019,while the overall coordination has improved,but there is a certain“Matthew effect”between regions.The northern coastal economic zone,southwestern economic zone,southern coastal economic zone and northwestern economic zone belong to the zigzag fluctuation type of difference,while the northeastern economic zone,the middle reaches of the Yangtze River economic zone,the middle reaches of the Yellow River economic zone and the eastern coastal economic zone belong to the homogeneous resonance type of difference.