加强拉姆齐测验与因果规律论

Strengthened Ramsey Test and Regularity Theories of Causation

因果规律论可以把因果问题转化为规律问题,但也因存在奇异问题和虚假原因问题而受到学界的质疑。加强拉姆齐测验思路可以解决虚假原因问题,这种思路为解决因果规律论所面临的问题提供了一种新的解决思路。但是,加强拉姆齐测验思路并不能解释奇异性问题,同时,贝尔型的试验证明量子不遵循贝尔不等式,即存在反向因果关系,这与加强拉姆齐测验所要求的正向推理明显是相悖的。从逻辑的视角看,加强拉姆齐测验实质上是一种非单调性推理,并不保真。因此,我们认为加强拉姆齐测验并不能把因果规律论拖出被质疑的泥潭。

Regularity theories of causation can transform causal problems into regular problems,but it is also questioned by academic circles because of the existence of singular causal relations problems and spurious cause problems.Strengthened Ramsey test can solve the problem of spurious causes,which provides a new way to solve the problems faced by causality theory.However,strengthened Ramsey test cannot explain singular causal relations problems,and Bell-type experiments prove that quantum does not follow Bell inequality,that is,there is an inverse causal relationship,which is obviously contrary to the positive reasoning required by strengthened Ramsey test.From the logical point of view,strengthened Ramsey test is essentially a non-monotonic reasoning,which is not true.Therefore,I believe that strengthened Ramsey test can not drag the theory of causality out of the quagmire of being questioned.