中国城市交通发展现状与面向2035年展望

Urban Transportation Development in China:Current State and 2035 Prospect

深入剖析中国城市交通基础特征、精准识别存在问题和研判发展趋势是谋划城市交通发展战略的基础性工作。总结近40年中国城市交通需求特征及变化,出行类型多元化和出行目的细分、通勤距离普遍增长是城镇化进程深入过程中出行特征呈现的两大转变。从道路设施、公共交通系统和交通信息化3个方面回顾交通基础设施和信息化发展取得的显著成就,指出当前城市交通系统存在与城市空间发展不协调、系统自身运行效益下滑、治理能力有待进一步提升等现实问题。展望2035年,城市交通发展应回归满足人的需求和支持城市高效运行的价值导向,充分利用数字化、信息化和智能化技术推动交通供需模式、治理体系和治理能力的创新发展,促进交通与城市空间、经济、社会、生态的深度融合,迈向高质量、高可达和包容、可持续的发展图景。

An in-depth analysis of the foundational characteristics of urban transportation in China,the accurate identification of existing issues,and the projection of future development trends are fundamental tasks for formulating urban transportation development strategies.This paper summarizes the characteristics and evolution in urban transportation demand over the past four decades in China,highlighting two prominent trends amid the ongoing urbanization process:the diversification of travel types and purposes,and the general increase in commuting distances.Reviewing the outstanding achievements in transportation infrastructure and informatization in road facilities,public transportation system,and transportation informatization,the paper highlights practical issues in China's urban transportation system,such as its misalignment with the urban spatial development,declining operational efficiency,and need for enhanced governance capabilities.Looking towards 2035,urban transportation development should return to the value orientation that prioritizes meeting people's needs and supporting efficient urban operations.Digital,information-based,and intelligent technologies should be leveraged to drive innovations in developing transportation supply-demand models,governance systems,and governance capabilities,to further promote a deep integration with urban space,economy,society,and ecology and advance towards a vision of high-quality,highly accessible,inclusive,and sustainable development.