消费升级视角下我国水产品消费量变化趋势研究

Research on the consumption trend changes of aquatic products in China from the perspective of consumption upgrading

为精准施策推动渔业高质量发展,更好统筹渔业供给侧结构性改革和扩大水产品内需,本文以中国居民膳食指南官方数据为依据,分析我国水产品消费现状并对未来趋势进行预测。结果显示,我国水产品消费结构不断优化,高经济性水产品消费占比提高,预测2035年我国居民水产品消费量有望超过3500万吨。研究表明,未来满足我国水产品消费升级需求应重点开展以下工作:(1)向大水面资源要食物,拓宽水产品供给渠道;(2)大力发展高经济价值水产品养殖品种,增强供给能力;(3)强化渔业科技和装备支撑,推进渔业绿色发展。本研究可为渔业主管部门施策提供相关数据支撑;树立大食物观,结合未来水产品市场动向提前规划布局,构建多元化食物供给体系,供给需求双发力推动渔业高质量发展。

In order to implement precise policies to promote the high-quality development of fisheries,better coordinate the structural reform of the supply side of fisheries and expand the domestic demand for aquatic products.Based on the official data of dietary guidelines for Chinese residents,the present situation and future trend of consumption of aquatic products in China are analyzed in this paper.The results show that the consumption structure of aquatic products in China is continuously optimized,and the proportion of high economic aquatic products consumption is increased,and the consumption of aquatic products in China is expected to exceed 35 million tons by 2035.The research shows that the following work should be carried out to meet the demand of upgrading aquatic products consumption in China in the future.(1)To expand the supply channels of aquatic products by asking for food from large surface resources.(2)Vigorously develop aquaculture varieties of high economic value and enhance the supply capacity.(3)Strengthen the support of fishery technology and equipment,and promote the green development of fishery.This study can provide relevant data support for fishery authorities to implement policies,establish a big food concept,plan and layout in advance according to the future market trends of aquatic products,build a diversified food supply system,and promote the high-quality development of fisheries through both supply and demand.