人口与发展环境双重变化下实现高质量发展研究

Research on achieving high-quality development under the dual changes of population and development environment

人口新形势叠加发展环境新变化,是建设中国式现代化需要面对和解决的新课题。本文将我国人口变化新趋势,与对外经贸关系新变化、发展的不平衡不充分问题、数字经济和人工智能发展等,置于同一个框架下研究优化未来人口与生产要素的匹配。同时,借鉴发达国家在类似人口发展阶段,优化产业结构、对外投资、城镇格局等方面的经验。立足新形势,本文提出最大化发挥人力资源作用,优化人口与生产要素匹配,促进经济高质量发展;以人民为中心,适时调整城镇化发展方向,提高人民生活品质;加快社会政策改革,完善公共支出制度,增强可持续性。本文研究展现了人口形势与经济社会发展环境双重变化对经济社会高质量发展的深远影响,揭示了以人口与生产要素更有效匹配,促进中国式现代化的经济、社会和人口政策思路。

The new population situation and the new changes in the development environment are new issues that need to be faced and solved in the construction of Chinese path to modernization.This paper puts the new trend of demographic change in China,the new changes in foreign economic and trade relations,the problem of unbalanced and insufficient development,the development of digital economy and artificial intelligence,etc.,under the same framework to study and optimize the matching of future population and production factors.At the same time,we should learn from the experience of developed countries in optimizing the industrial structure,foreign investment,and urban pattern at similar population development stages.Based on the new situation,this paper proposes to maximize the role of human resources,optimize the matching of population and production factors,and promote high-quality economic development;take the people as the center,adjust the direction of urbanization development in a timely manner,and improve the quality of people’s lives;accelerate social policy reforms,improve public spending systems,and enhance sustainability.This paper shows the far-reaching impact of the dual changes in the population situation and the economic and social development environment on the high-quality economic and social development,and reveals the economic,social and demographic policy ideas to promote Chinese path to modernization through more effective matching of population and production factors.