乌克兰危机对全球地缘政治和经济格局的冲击和影响

The Impacts and Influences of the Ukraine Crisis on the Global Geopolitical and Economic Pattern

乌克兰危机对全球地缘政治格局的影响体现在暴露、加剧了美西方与俄罗斯之间的尖锐矛盾,俄罗斯与西方国家在乌克兰的地缘政治角力引发欧洲的动荡与分化,改变着美国与中国、俄罗斯、欧盟之间的地缘政治关系,影响着美国的全球战略布局中的优先级。俄乌冲突导致全球经济秩序的动荡和重组,引发全球能源、贸易和金融市场剧烈波动,给各国能源安全和低碳经济转型带来挑战,削弱了全球经济治理和多边合作的有效性,催生着全球经济秩序的重组和多极化,加速着“全球南方”的崛起和新兴经济体之间的合作。其给全球和地区安全治理带来的威胁与机遇是:打破了欧美、俄欧、北约与俄罗斯之间脆弱的平衡,欧洲陷入安全困境;大国关系格局开始调整;催生全球安全治理机制新模式,推动多边主义的发展。

The impact of the Ukraine crisis on the global geopolitical pattern is manifested in exposing and deepening the sharp contradictions between the West and Russia.The geopolitical struggle between Russia and the West in Ukraine provokes the turmoil and division of Europe and changes the geopolitical relations between the United States and China,Russia and European Union,while affecting the priority of global strategic deployment of the United States.The Russia-Ukraine conflict leads to the instability and reorganization of the global economic order,triggers sharp fluctuations in the global energy,trade,and financial markets,and poses challenges to the energy security and low-carbon economic transformation of various countries.It weakens the effectiveness of global economic governance and multilateral cooperation,gives birth to the reorganization and multi-polarization of the global economic order,while accelerating the rise of“Global South”and the cooperation among emerging economies.The threats and opportunities which it brings to the global and regional security governance are manifested in the following aspects:It breaks the fragile balance between Europe and the United States,Russia and Europe as well as NATO(North Atlantic Treaty Organization)and Russia and Europe falls into a security dilemma;The pattern of great power relations begins to adjust;It gives birth to a new model of global security governance mechanism and promotes the development of multilateralism.