住房分层对青年流动人口生育规划的影响

Impact of Housing Stratification on the Birth Planning of Mobile Youth

基于流动人口动态监测调查数据,实证检验住房分层对青年流动人口生育规划的影响及其传导机制。研究表明:第一,拥有住房产权可以显著促进青年流动人口制定生育规划,但对二孩生育规划产生负向影响;第二,相比市场性租赁住房,居住在保障性租赁住房的青年流动人口更愿意生育;第三,社会融入在住房分层对青年流动人口生育规划的影响中起部分中介作用,拥有住房产权可以通过促进青年流动人口社会融入,进而推动其制定生育规划。政府应进一步完善住房市场体系和住房保障体系,健全支持生育的住房保障政策,让青年流动人口想生又敢生。

Based on the dynamic monitoring survey data of mobile population,this paper empirically tested the impact of housing stratification on the birth planning of mobile youth and its transmission mechanism.The findings were as follows.Firstly,home-ownership significantly promoted the birth planning of mobile youth,but had a negative effect on plans for having a second child.Secondly,young migrants residing in affordable rental housing were more willing to have children compared to those living in market-rental housing.Thirdly,social integration played a partial mediating role in the impact of housing stratification on the birth planning of mobile youth.Homeownership could facilitate social integration among mobile youth,thereby encouraging them to make reproductive plans.Governments should further improve the housing market system and housing security system,and establish supportive housing policies to encourage childbearing,ensuring that mobile youth were both willing and able to have children.