人工智能对国家间关系的冲击及未来选择

The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Interstate Relations and Future Options

世界动荡变革期,人工智能成为大国竞逐新领域,作为新一轮科技革命和产业变革的驱动力,正使国家间关系发生深刻变化。国家对权力分配、收益偏好和共有观念的选择不同,造成了人工智能时代权力竞争加剧、国际制度稳定性下降、安全文化分歧扩大的互动结果。技术性介入导致国家发展机遇与挑战对冲、全球治理创新与困境共存、国家安全保护与风险交织张力增强。体系单位的稳定性降低致使国家间关系脆弱性增加。为减小人工智能对国家间关系的冲击,未来体系单位互动应当:打造多元合作平台,加强人工智能均衡发展,弥合“技术鸿沟”;提升国家治理能力、推动专门性国际组织建设和国际制度的落实,完善人工智能的全球治理体系;在制度、技术与合作方面加强国家自身人工智能建设,实现全方位、全领域的安全保障。

As the world has entered a new period of turbulence and change,artificial intelligence(AI) has become a new “battlefield” of competition between major countries.As the driving force of a new round of scientific and technological revolution and industrial change,it is causing profound changes in interstate relations.The different choices made by countries on power distribution,benefit preferences and shared ideas have resulted in the intensified competition for power,reduced stability of international institutions,and widening differences in the culture of security in the era of AI.Technological interventions have led to the hedging of national development opportunities and challenges,the coexistence of global governance innovations and difficulties,and the intersection of national security protection efforts and risks.The reduced stability of system units has been associated with the vulnerability of interstate relations.In order to reduce the impact of AI on interstate relations,in terms of the interaction of system units,we should first create a diversified cooperation platform,strengthen the balanced development of AI,and bridge the “technological divide”;second,it is necessary to enhance national governance capabilities,promote the construction of specialized international organizations and the implementation of international systems,and improve the global governance system of AI;and third,efforts should be made to strengthen the construction of China's AI sector in terms of system,technology and cooperation,and ensure security in an all-dimensional and all-sectoral manner.